NBA Picks: Heat vs. Knicks

Steven Suarez

Sunday, March 3, 2013 3:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 3, 2013 3:00 PM UTC

Get ready for one heck of a show on Sunday afternoon. Madison Square Garden is the stage for a showdown between LeBron and the Heat and Carmelo Anthony and the Knicks. What's our pick?

Odds Overview

The Knicks are 21-8 SU at home, but they're 4.5-point underdogs for this visit of the defending champions.

As for the total, it can be found at 198. The OVER has cashed in four of New York's last five games overall, but the UNDER is 10-3-1 in the previous 14 head-to-head meetings between these Eastern Conference squads.

Miami Heat

Chalmers, Wade, James, Haslem, Bosh

It's been just over a month since the Heat last lost. Since a 102-89 setback on the road versus Indiana, Miami has reeled off 13 straight wins.

On Friday night Erik Spoelstra's team held off a tough Memphis team to win 98-91 at home. Though they didn't come through at the betting window as eight-point favorites in the NBA odds, the Heat did what they needed to do for the W.

LeBron was quiet for the first three quarters, but then sprung to life when it mattered most. He ended up with 18 points (4-of-14 FG), 10 assists and eight rebounds. His partner-in-crime, D-Wade, had 22 points, eight dimes, four boards and two steals, while Chris Bosh, Ray Allen and Shane Battier all scored in double figures too.

For a team that's been criticized for being weak inside and on the boards, Miami made a good account of themselves against the Grizzlies' formidable interior presence. They had only three less rebounds than Memphis and were out-scored by just two in points in the paint.

Ahead of today's battle, the Heat are now 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games and have cashed in five consecutive matchups on the road.

New York Knicks

Felton, Shumpert, White, Anthony, Chandler

New York has found their groove again after a four-game losing streak. They've won three in a row, the latest a 96-88 road win over a resurgent Wizards team on Friday night.

There were a number of great individual performances for the Knicks. Carmelo Anthony poured in 30 points on 10-of-24 shooting, Raymond Felton had 23 points, six rebounds and four assists, and Tyson Chandler and J.R. Smith combined for 19 points and 22 rebounds.

Despite the win, the Knicks have been far from good defensively recently. They're giving up 102.2 PPG over their last five, which is troubling with the Heat coming up next.

New York could really use another statement win over Miami to kick-start their momentum again as we approach the playoffs, but in the handicapping world they've been a mess over the last month or so.

Knicks backers have not been rewarded whatsoever lately, as the team's gone a terrible 1-7-1 ATS over their last nine overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four inside Madison Square Garden.


NBA Pick

Believe it or not, the Knicks have won both meetings against Miami this season, and neither victory was even close. They won 104-84 at MSG in November and then embarrassed the Heat 112-92 in South Beach.

However, are we the only ones that believe LeBron and company are due for a little revenge of their own?

As good as Miami has looked as of late, we find it hard not to believe they'll take care of business in New York this afternoon. The Heat have won each of their five most recent road contests and the average margin of victory has been 14.2 points. Plus, three of those wins came against locked-in playoff teams in Oklahoma City, Atlanta, and Chicago

Miami lives for these national spotlight games and we believe they'll outlast an inconsistent New York team in this spot. Take Miami here for your NBA Picks.

NBA Pick: Miami Heat -4.5 at pinnacle

comment here