NBA Picks: Heat vs. Celtics

Joe Freda

Sunday, January 27, 2013 12:47 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 27, 2013 12:47 PM UTC

The Miami Heat have notched a 3-1 spread record in their present streak of four wins, putting up 106 PPG. Sunday’s NBA betting has Erik Spoelstra’s squad tipping early against the Boston Celtics.

Sunday Early Pick: Heat-Celtics

The Celtics have been on a 0-6 ATS slide. Can the Celtics end their skid here or will the Heat stay hot up north?

Heat, Wade thrash Pistons

Miami’s latest triumph came with Friday’s 110-88 victory as a 9 ½-point NBA oddsfavorite at home against the Detroit Pistons. The Heat lit up their floor with 55.8 percent field shooting, while sinking 19-of-23 free throws.

Heat guard Dwayne Wade piled in a team-high 29 points, while uniting with mate LeBron James for seven assists each. James finished with 23 points, while Miami’s Mario Chalmers logged four of his side’s 12 steals.

The lopsided affair’s combined 198 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 192, moving the OVER to 4-2 in Miami’s last six games. Heat center Chris Bosh grabbed seven boards, leading his squad to outrebound Detroit, 36-35.

Celtics, Rondo topped in OT

Boston’s most recent defeat saw Doc Rivers’ club fall to the Atlanta Hawks, 123-111, in Friday’s overtime setback as a 5 ½-point road dog. The Celtics blew a 27-point lead, outscored in the second half by a 60-41 margin.

Celtics mates Kevin Garnett and Rajon Rondo united for 40 points, while logging 10 rebounds each. Rondo added 11 assists for a triple double, while Boston’s Paul Pierce was held to a 4-for-13 night from the floor.

The wild duel’s combined 234 points did not need its extra minutes to cash OVER tickets, sailing above the ‘total’ of 185. Boston was edged out in paint points, 50-38, while Celtics veteran Jason Terry logged the team’s sole block in 22 minutes of action.


Back the Celtics at TD Garden opened Miami as a 3 ½-point road favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 188. Boston is playing their third game in four days, while Miami will have two days off before resuming its road trip Wednesday against the Brooklyn Nets 

I am adding a NBA betting ticket on the Celtics as home dogs, looking for this battle to come down to the last shot. Boston is playing a grueling stretch, but is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 meetings hosted against the Heat.

The Celtics also come in with revenge after October’s 120-107 defeat in Miami, where Pierce and Co. allowed Miami to shoot 54.4 percent from the field. Boston should keep this rematch tighter with a shift to its floor, with the Heat held to 86.5 PPG in their last four trips to “Beantown.”

Miami has a surging streak heading into this affair, but has been overvalued in its share of recent duels. The Heat have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups that followed a victory, while logging a 1-4 spread record in their last five contests that came after a spot of scoring 100 points.

Look for the Celtics to step up here with some value, adding another cashed ticket to the home team’s 16-7 ATS mark in the last 23 battles of this rivalry.

NBA Picks:  Boston Celtics +3 ½ ( 

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