NBA Picks: Hawks vs. Pacers Game 2

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, April 24, 2013 12:22 PM GMT

Expect things to be physical Wednesday night at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, as the Atlanta Hawks and Indiana Pacers continue their Eastern Conference quarterfinals series.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 2 in Indianapolis, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on NBATV.

Battered

Atlanta suffered a 107-90 setback to Indiana as seven-point road underdogs in Game 1 Sunday, while going OVER the posted total of 185.5. The Hawks have now dropped three consecutive meetings against the Pacers going back to the regular season, with all three meetings climbing above the total. 

NBA handicappers need to be careful in backing the Hawks in this spot, considering they’ve gone 1-7 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when playing with triple revenge against a team during the 2012-13 campaign. 

Box score 

Indiana did the little things in picking up a victory last time out, as it finished with a 48-32 advantage on the glass, while getting to the free throw line 20 more times than its opponent. 

It’s important to point out that the Pacers allowed the Hawks to shoot 50 percent from the field, which was a bit surprising due to being one of the better defensive teams in the league during the regular season.

The Pacers have gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the second game of a playoff series the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER cashing in each of those affairs. 

Beyond the arc 

Atlanta managed to knock down 7 of 17 attempts from the 3-point area in Game 1, which wasn’t very surprising due to ranking seventh in the league in shooting from beyond the arc during the regular season. 

Problem is, Indiana led the NBA in 3-point field goal percentage defense, while holding opponents to just 5.43 makes from that particular distance. 

Physical 

Hawks coach Larry Drew wasn’t happy with the performance of his team last time out, but he’s expecting his roster to play a more physical brand of basketball in Game 2. Atlanta might be 0-3 SU in the second game of a playoff series the last two-plus seasons, but all three of those games went UNDER the total.

[gameodds]5/226786/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks Wednesday night, as the UNDER is 12-4 in the Hawks’ last 16 conference quarterfinal games, while the Pacers have fallen shot of the number in six of their last eight after scoring 100 or more points. 

NBA Pick: Under 187.5 at Bookmaker