NBA Picks: Hawks vs. Nuggets

Joe Catalano

Thursday, November 7, 2013 3:57 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 7, 2013 3:57 PM GMT

The Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado will be rocking as they’re still waiting for their hometown Nuggets to pick up their first win of the season. Will Atlanta adjust to the change in altitude? Stay tuned tonight and find out.

The Denver Nuggets (0-3) appear to be on a steady decline offensively, but will look to send the Pepsi Center spectators home happy as they face a very average Atlanta Hawks (2-2) team and Al Horford.

Check out SBRs Thursday Night NBA Parlay

Respect

Even without a victory this season, according to Bet 365 Sportsbook, the NBA odds for the Denver Nuggets are still as 3 point favorite and the total for this game is 203.5 points.

What’s Denver’s Problem?

What made Denver a 50 plus win team in previous years hasn’t happened this season. The Nuggets offense, which is supposed to be their strength, is sputtering at just 93.3 points per game while their defense has been lackadaisical, allowing a massive 101.7 points per game. If this continues, Denver will be the team in the NBA with the biggest dropoff in wins from last season to this season.

The Silent Assassin?

The Nuggets welcome in a new look, Atlanta Hawks team as Paul Millsap has replaced Josh Smith. Millsap is somewhat similar to teammate Al Horford in that he’s low key and a blue collar type of player that will play consistently all season.

Thus far, Millsap leads the Hawks at 18.5 points per game. The difference between Millsap and the departed Josh Smith is that Smith will give a team those 30-35 point flashy games , but also put up crazy shots while Millsap is “Steady Eddie” all season long. We don’t know if having two similar players in Horford in Millsap is a good thing as of yet; only time will tell.

Atlanta also brings the production of point guard Jeff Teague. Thus far, Teague has been a strong contributor, leading the Hawks at 8.8 assists per game to go with his 18.3 points. This could partially be attributed to the new contract that Teague was given. Money seems to have made Teague a more productive player and he’ll be a thorn in the side of Ty Lawson and the winless Nuggets.

Faried is Back!

High flying forward, Kenneth Faried, gives the Nuggets some much needed energy and the coaching staff has been treating him carefully since his injury. Faried has yet to play more than 30 minutes in a game, but is coming off of his biggest scoring output of the season; a 15 point and 8 rebound performance in a loss to the pesky San Antonio Spurs. The level of opposition decreases in this game for Faried and he’s superior in athleticism in comparison to his counterparts, Al Horford and Paul Millsap. Look for a big game out of Kenneth Faried tonight; Denver needs a win desperately.

Not Fitting In

J.J. Hickson was a player that I regarded highly when he played for the Portland Trail Blazers, averaging a double-double every night and taking up space in the paint. In Denver, things haven’t went so well for Hickson as he was relegated to just 17 minutes in his last game in which he produced just 4 points.

This is a player that could give the Nuggets a huge burst. Either they’re misusing him, he hasn’t adjusted to a new city, or he’s out of shape and not ready to play in the toughest place to play physically. Denver needs to find a way to incorporate Hickson into the offense. Having him sit the bench is a big waste.

In the meanwhile, leading scorer, Ty Lawson, gets to carry this team on his back. On the season, Lawson is averaging 20.3 points per game and is responsible for roughly over 20% of Denver’s points. Lawson is a great player, but isn’t known as a 20 point scorer. Denver needs to make adjustments.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":247097, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Outcome

Take the Hawks for your NBA pick and the points as Denver has totally flown off the radar offensively. 

NBA Pick: Atlanta Hawks +3 at Bet 365

comment here