NBA Picks: Hawks vs. Heat

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, March 12, 2013 11:39 AM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 12, 2013 11:39 AM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for this Eastern Conference affair between the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat. Where are we looking to place our NBA picks in this matchup?


The Miami Heat have won 18-straight games heading into Tuesday night’s action, as they prepare to take on the Atlanta Hawks for the fourth time this season.

Heading in the wrong direction

Atlanta has dropped five of its last six games, including a 93-80 setback to the Brooklyn Nets as 3.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the posted total of 191.5.

The Hawks are 8-9 straight up (SU) and 9-8 against the spread (ATS) during the second half of the season, with the OVER going 9-8 in that situation. 

Streaking 

The Miami Heat have pushed their winning streak to a franchise-record 18 games, as they come off a huge 105-91 victory over the Indiana Pacers as 6.5-point home favorites Sunday, while going OVER the posted total of 188.

For the first time in franchise history, the Heat have beaten every team in the league in a single season. 

Value

NBA handicappers may elect to lay the double-digit price on the SBR's NBA odds page, considering the Heat are 3-0 SUATS versus the Hawks during the 2012-13 campaign. 

It’s still important to note that Atlanta hasn’t tipped off as a double-digit road underdog this season, while all three of those games went UNDER the total. 

Favoritism

Miami has been favored in 58 of its 61 games this season—failing to produce any type of edge in that particular situation.  The Heat are 29-29 ATS when laying any type of number this year, including a 3-5 ATS mark when the number falls between 9.5 to 12 points.

Road team has gotten the cash 

Atlanta has actually won five of its seven road games versus Southeast Division opponents, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA picks Tuesday, especially since the visitor is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.

The Hawks have covered the number in nine of their last 13 games away from Philips Arena, with the UNDER cashing in four of the last five in that role.

[gameodds]5/221143/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Hawks in the first half as one of their sports picks, as they’ve covered the number in all three meetings heading into the break, while the Heat may come out a bit sluggish after finally beating the Pacers. 

NBA Pick:  Atlanta Hawks +5.5 First Half
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