The Mavs played yesterday, and even though they are one of the best teams in the NBA at covering on the second night of a back to back, at this point of the season they have nothing left to play for. On top of that, the Grizzlies are really good in this spot as well. Memphis is 16-9 ATS as road favorites this season, and I see them covering again.
Memphis is 23-16-1 ATS on the road this season, and they have beaten the Mavs in six of their last eight chances. With Dirk Nowitzki hurting a little bit, I see the Grizzlies dominating Dallas tonight and getting the win on the road. Memphis is one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA, while Dallas is the 2nd worst. Memphis will be able to dominate the ball inside on both ends of the floor tonight to get the much needed road win.
Memphis still has an outside chance at moving up in the West playoff standings, and with the Mavs having nothing to play for, I see them taking advantage. Dallas should be a little tired after their win yesterday evening in New Orleans, and the Grizzlies have been very good at taking advantage of teams in that spot. Why they are so undervalued on the road here I do not know, but look for Memphis to take care of business as long as they play their full cast of players and don’t rest any here.
My NBA Pick: Grizzlies -3 ½ at 5DimesFor another play in this game and more free plays, check out my NBA Picks of the Day.