NBA Picks Grizzlies vs. Kings: With Cousins Sidelined Bet on Memphis

Darin Zank

Tuesday, November 3, 2015 6:04 PM GMT

Memphis just got beat by 50 points Monday, whiffing against the NBA odds. Fortunately, the Grizzlies don't have to wait long to get back on the court, and they are our NBA Pick vs. Kings tonight.

***Read Our NBA Picks of the Day HERE***

 

Grizzlies-Kings Betting Odds
Most of Tuesday's NBA odds market opened this game with Memphis favored by five points, the total proffered at right around 198. In the early betting many books dropped the Grizzlies to -4.

Bettors who believe Sacramento might win this game outright could get a price of around +160 on the various NBA betting moneylines.

 

Grizzlies-Kings: The Situation
After going 29-53 last season Sacramento went off this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 36. The Kings are off to a 1-2 start, 2-1 ATS, after losing to the Clippers Saturday 114-109 but covering as 10-point road dogs. Sacramento led LA by a point midway through the fourth quarter, but gave up an 8-0 run to fall behind, and couldn't fully recover.

The Kings only shot 43 percent Saturday, while the Clippers shot 51 percent, but 19 offensive rebounds helped keep Sacramento in the game.

The Kings opened this season with a 111-104 loss to those same Clippers last Wednesday, then beat the Lakers Friday 132-114. And in hitting the 100-point mark each time out, while giving up at least 111 each game, Sacramento is 3-0 on the OVERS so far.

Memphis, after going 55-27 last season, began this season with a wins O/U of 50. The Grizzlies are off to a 2-2 start, only 1-3 ATS, after getting bombed at Golden State Monday night 119-69. Memphis actually led the Warriors by one point after one quarter, but fell down by 19 at the half and by 44 through three quarters, suffering one of the worst NBA losses in recent memory. On the night the Grizz shot just 27 percent from the floor, and hit just three-of-23 shots from 3-point land, while Golden State shot 51 percent.

Memphis opened this season with a 106-76 loss to Cleveland last Wednesday, but then won at Indiana 112-103 Thursday and beat Brooklyn Saturday 101-91.

The Grizzlies are also 3-1 on the UNDERS so far, mainly because they've had trouble putting the ball in the hole, shooting just 38 percent from the field through four games.

 

Grizz-Kings Recent History
Memphis has taken 17 of the last 20 meeting with Sacramento, and nine of the last 10. But Sacramento has managed to split those last 10 meetings ATS. Last season the Grizzlies took three of four games from the Kings, but the teams split the four games ATS.

Also, the UNDERS went 3-1 in this series last season, as the games averaged 194 total points.

 

Injury Update
Sacramento C DeMarcus Cousins tweaked an Achilles tendon Sunday, left the game and did not return and will miss at least the next few games.

 

Grizzlies vs. Kings NBA Betting Analysis
Memphis should shoot a little better than 27 percent tonight, and Sacramento is without its best player. So in anticipation of a bounce-back effort we like the Grizzlies on the side. Also, both these teams are allowing opponents to shoot almost 50 percent from the floor, so while this series trended UNDER last season, we're thinking OVER in this spot.

NBA Picks: Memphis -4 (-105) & OVER 197 (-105) at Heritage

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