NBA Picks: Grizzlies vs. Clippers Game 5

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, April 30, 2013 11:56 AM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 30, 2013 11:56 AM GMT

The Los Angeles Clippers and Memphis Grizzlies have gone above the betting total in three of four games, as they prepare to meet up for Game 5 Tuesday night. Where can bettors look for the best value for their NBA picks.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for this Western Conference quarterfinal matchup at the Staples Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Check out our NBA picks of the day to stay ahead of the action.

Tied up 

Memphis evened the series at 2-2 by winning and covering the spread in Games 3 and 4, including a 104-83 victory over Los Angeles as 3.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the total of 177.5. 

The Grizzlies are 0-3 straight up (SU) and 1-2 against the spread (ATS) off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, with the UNDER going 2-1 in those contests. 

91 is the number 

Los Angeles averaged just 82.5 points in its two games at FedExForum, but should be better off on the offensive end in front of its home fans, as it combined to score 205 in winning the first two games of this series at the Staples Center.

Since the start of the 2011-12 NBA season, the Clippers have won 11 of 18 meetings with the Grizzlies, including a 9-1 mark when putting up 91 or more points. 

Home-court advantage 

NBA handicappers are certainly aware that the home team has covered the number in three of the first four games in this series, which can’t be ignored when looking over the betting lines Tuesday. 

In 62 playoff series in NBA history in which the home team won each of the first four games, the side with home-court advantage has gone on to win the series 51 times in those situations. 

Crash the boards

Los Angeles and Memphis were two of the better rebounding teams around the league during the season, which doesn’t make it surprising that the side that has controlled the glass has gone on to win the first four games. 

The home team has combined to out-rebound the visitor by a dominating 177-122 margin heading into this pivotal affair.

[gameodds]5/228070/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks Tuesday, as the OVER is 8-0 in the Clippers’ eight games as home favorites of 3.5 to 6 points this season, while the Grizzlies have climbed above the number in six of 10 games on the road with a total between 180 and 184.5.

NBA Pick:  Over 180 at Bookmaker

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