NBA Picks: Grizzlies vs. 76ers

Steven Suarez

Monday, January 28, 2013 3:24 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 28, 2013 3:24 PM UTC

How will the Grizzlies fare after an embarrassing showing last night? They'll have to contend with Jrue Holiday, but sportsbooks still have Memphis favored on the road. What's the right way to go with our NBA picks tonight?

Odds Overview 

Currently, the NBA odds boards have the Grizzlies giving away three points to the 76ers. This season Memphis has been terrific against the spread (25-17-1), while Philadelphia has struggled to the tune of 19-24 ATS.

If you're liking the look of a total play, you can find the O/U set at 178. Even though the OVER has gone 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these teams, the Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league and the 76ers have been far better defensively than they have on the offensive end.


Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies would like to soon forget about last night's home loss to New Orleans, especially since they were favored by almost eight points in the NBA odds coming in.

It was tough sledding offensively for Memphis, especially since they were without starting point guard Mike Conley for the majority of the game. He sprained his ankle and is considered questionable to play tonight.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 36.4 percent from the field overall. As usual, Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol had their way in the post, combining for 34 points and 24 rebounds. Rudy Gay was a hot mess though, hitting just 3-of-17 shots for 10 points.

It was a tough game to watch if you're a Memphis fan, particularly since the team had just smashed Brooklyn and the L.A. Lakers by double digits in the two games prior to last night.

Maybe heading back on the road could be what the Grizzlies need. They've been one of the better road teams in the NBA (11-8 SU) and have covered the spread in five of their previous seven matchups outside of Memphis. 

Philadelphia 76ers

On Saturday the 76ers put forth arguably their best performance of the season in a blowout 97-80 win over Carmelo Anthony and the New York Knicks. 

It was Jrue Holiday's world and everyone was just visiting. Holiday was magnificent, finishing with 35 points (16-of-25 FG), six assists, five rebounds and only one turnover. He was helped out by Nick Young and Evan Turner, both of whom notched 20 points.

No doubt it was a huge win for the 76ers, but let's not lose sight of the big picture. This is still a team that's gone 3-7 SU (4-6 ATS) over their last 10 games, a span that includes losses to the likes of New Orleans and Toronto.

Philadelphia has, however, managed to protect their home floor pretty well, especially as of late. The 76ers have gone 4-1 ATS over their past five home affairs.

That said, they've gone just 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games when playing on one day of rest and haven't done well, at least versus the NBA betting lines, following a straight up win. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven after a victory.

NBA Pick

This is one of the more difficult games to approach from a NBA betting standpoint, as the 76ers have the advantage on the perimeter, especially if Conley can't go, but the Grizzlies have the clear edge in the frontcourt.

That difference inside is what will be swaying us in the end. We just don't see how Spencer Hawes, a good offensive but poor defensive player, and the under-sized Thaddeus Young will be able to contain the incredibly physical combo of Randolph and Gasol.

It's also hard to imagine Gay won't bounce back and it helps that he's been scoring at a higher clip on the road than he has at home this season. 

We can safely assume that Holiday will be all over the place, but we like this situational spot for the Grizzlies. They can't be pleased in the slightest with last night's effort and will look to control the tempo from the beginning by pounding the rock inside and playing their normal brand of suffocating defense.

With that being said, I am offering Memphis as one of my free sports picks tonght. For more options for your evenings betting ticket follow all of the other picks on offer at SBR Forum.

Good luck! 

Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -3
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