NBA Picks: Grab Road Underdog Pelicans +15 vs. Warriors Faceoff

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, March 14, 2016 3:21 PM GMT

New Orleans will meet the Golden St. Warriors, the NBA’s top-ranked team. The Warriors are on pace to break the all-time win record for an 82 game NBA season. See my NBA pick inside. 

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden St. Warriors 
After knocking the Pelicans out of the playoffs last season, the Warriors continued their dominance in 2 games earlier this season by scores of 134-120 in New Orleans and 111-95 on this court. That average margin of victory (15 points) accurately is reflected by today’s impost. Though New Orleans has all but excluded themselves from a playoff invitation, being 8 ½ games out of 8th place, there is little doubt they will be fired up for the defending champions for tonight’s contest.

New Orleans is coached by Alvin Gentry, who was an Asst. for Golden St. during last year’s title run. Gentry clearly expected more from this Pelicans team when he took the job last fall. From the start of the season, Gentry and the Pelicans were plagued by injuries. Complicating the lack of playing time is the Pelicans’ inability to institute the Golden St. system on offense which Gentry had hoped to install. The result is a New Orleans team, who continues to run an up-tempo system (their games average almost 209 PPG) but is one of the worst defensive teams in the league, allowing 106 PPG, No. 26 in the league.  

That was obviously an issue, when they allowed Golden St. to score more than 220 PPG in the 2 games this season. For that reason, one might have concerns in backing the Pelicans in this game. But, this selection is less about New Orleans than it is about the current form and the mindset of Golden St.

In a recent interview, Steph Curry said the team was looking forward to the future with talk of breaking the record from most wins in a season. Though he did not mention the team by name, the fact that the Warriors play the Spurs 3 more times this season, including twice in the final week, provides a natural look ahead for this Golden St. team. As a result, they are no longer dominating teams the way they were earlier this season. Golden St. is now on pointspread slides of 18-21 ATS, including 4-10 ATS recently.

Though Golden St. has a 16-12 ATS record on this court, it is just 5-10 ATS at Oracle Arena of late. Will the Warriors win their 49th consecutive game tonight? There is little doubt, but they may be more concerned about celebrating Steph’s Curry 28th birthday after the game than covering this pointspread.

I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and join me in my NBA pick on the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. Be sure to visit our top three O/U picks for Monday and fatten your wallet on some of today's best value games. 

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NBA Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +15
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle