NBA Picks: Get the Rub of the Green & Back Celtics to Upset Bucks

Charles Stark

Tuesday, November 10, 2015 11:53 AM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2015 11:53 AM GMT

So far this season, I have been underwhelmed by the Milwaukee Bucks, so for today's matchup I will be backing the Boston Celtics at almost a pick. Check inside for NBA odds analysis & game preview.

NBA odds
NBA oddsmakers have made Milwaukee a -1 favorite in this contest putting Boston at +1. You can still get pretty good odds like  taking the Celtics getting a point at -105 at Pinnacle. For one of my NBA picks today, I'm going to back Boston to win this game.

 

Boston Celtics
The Celtics are averaging 103.6 points per game, shooting 41.3% from the field, and 31.6% from distance. Led by Isaiah Thomas, their shooting percentages are not that great, but they sure do put up a lot of shots averaging 89.6 per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Even with Marcus Smart still sidelined, Boston is pretty deep and not easy to defend. They move the ball well ranking sixth in the NBA and assist per game and they make their free throws averaging 82.7% from the line which ranks second. Like a lot of NBA coaches, and basketball coaches in general, I'm a big fan of Brad Stevens.

Defensively, Boston is allowing 100.2 points per game, 41.4% shooting from the field, and 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. They have been okay as far as percentages go defending beyond the perimeter, but they have been doing very well defending just two point shots, allowing just 44.1% which ranks third in the NBA. They're solid in defending the paint and lead the league in opponent turnovers per game. This could be significant considering starting point guard Michael Carter Williams is out for Milwaukee.

 

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is averaging 97.7 points per game, shooting 43.9% from the field, and 34.8% from distance. They have played well in their last four games, but the competition hasn't been that great beating the Brooklyn Nets twice, Philadelphia, and the New York Knicks. Like Boston, they move the ball very well, ranking fifth in the NBA and assist per game, and they have some solid options offensively with Greg Monroe and Giannis Antetokounmpo. In order for them to win tonight, though, guards Jerryd Bayless and Greivis Vasquez will have to play well considering Williams is out.

Defensively, Milwaukee's allowing 101 points per game, 44.4% shooting from the field, and 34.2% shooting from beyond the arc. The main problem I have personally with Milwaukee is simply how poorly they have played on defense so far this season. They have been decent at forcing turnovers, but besides that, they haven't done much to limit their opponents efficiency, as they rank in the bottom part of the league in both opponent shooting efficiency and opponent effective field goal percentage.

Boston is going to try to push tempo and I think they will succeed, even though Milwaukee is going to try and limit this aspect, making this a half-court to half-court contest. When looking at the matchups, I like for Boston to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that has not played well on defense and put up a lot of points. Even though this game is in Milwaukee, for one of your NBA picks I recommend backing Boston to come out of this game with the victory.

Free NBA Pick: Boston to win

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