NBA Picks - Friday's Potential Upsets

L.A. Clippers players gathered around

Friday, November 11, 2016 7:56 PM GMT

The Pistons and the Thunder face tough opponents tonight but both teams have enough talent to pull off a cover or a straight up win. This week's column will show you why Detroit and Oklahoma City can help you win big with your NBA picks.

Pistons vs. Spurs

The Detroit Pistons look for their first road win of the season when they visit a San Antonio Spurs team that has lost three of their last four games, including three straight at AT&T Center, their first three-game home losing streak since December, 2014.

The Pistons have also lost three of their last four games. They started a four-game road trip by getting blown out by the Clippers 114-82 on Monday and then dropped Wednesday's game against the Suns, 107-100 despite a season-high 27 points from Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Andre Drummond also played well, scoring 18 points and pulling down 14 rebounds and the outcomes of his potential matchups with LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol can help keep the Pistons in the game against the Spurs.   

I don't feel comfortable laying so many points with a Spurs team that's really struggling at home. San Antonio is the better team here, that can't be denied, and it's only a matter of time before they figure out how to get back on track, but the Pistons are a decent team with a strong defense that gives up just 97.4 points per game (5th in the NBA) and plenty of talented players like Tobias Harris, Marcus Morris, Andre Drummond, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Jon Leuer, who all average double-digits in scoring.    

The Spurs are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, which is another reason why I will include the Pistons in my NBA picks.

 

Free NBA Pick: Pistons +8.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Clippers vs. Thunder

The Los Angeles Clippers have the best record in the NBA (7-1), they're playing outstanding basketball, Paul, Griffin and Jordan quietly put up huge numbers and the team has a deep bench and the best defense in the league, allowing just 88.3 points per game, but I still like the Thunder to at least cover at home.

The Clippers look to avenge their only loss of the season, as the Thunder beat them 85-83 on November 2 in Los Angeles. That being said, Oklahoma City getting 5 points at home on the NBA odds boards at most online sportsbooks is something that I just can't ignore. 

The Thunder might have lost two of their last four games, including a 112-102 home setback against the Raptors on Wednesday but they proved that they have what it takes to keep up with Los Angeles. Russell Westbrook led the way in the first meeting against the Clippers with 35 points, six rebounds and five assists and the Thunder outrebounded the Clippers 52 to 41 and held Blake Griffin to just 14 points on 7 for 21 shooting.  

Westbrook has been trying to do too much, shooting just 14 for 42 from the field, including 4 for 18 from 3-point range over the last two games though. Better shot selection from Westbrook and consistent production from Victor Oladipo (16.0 points per game) and Steven Adams, who matched his season-highs of 14 points and 12 rebounds against the Raptors, are some of the keys to this game for the Thunder. I'm taking Oklahoma City and the points at home.

 

Free NBA Pick: Thunder +5Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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