NBA Picks: Friday Playoff Picks & Predictions

Joe Freda

Thursday, May 9, 2013 11:34 AM GMT

Free NBA picks for both of the Friday night playoff matchups. Have the NBA odds makers left us any value on the boards, and will the lines move in our favor?

Friday’s NBA betting has a pair of Game 3 playoff contests on tap, with rematches from Wednesday’s card that saw my followers cash in both battles. The Chicago Bulls return to United Center as home dogs against the Miami Heat, while the San Antonio Spurs head west against the Golden State Warriors.

What are the best options for our NBA picks tonight, and where can we find the best betting lines on offer?

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls

Miami answered back from its upset loss in Game 1 with Wednesday’s 115-78 as 13-point home ‘chalk.’ The Heat shot 60 percent from the floor, including a 9-for-18 clip from three-point land.

Heat guard Ray Allen notched a team-high 21 points off the bench, hitting 10-of-10 free throws. Miami’s LeBron James and Dwayne Wade united for 34 points and 14 assists, with James adding three of his side’s nine steals. 

Chicago was held to a 35.5 percent night of field shooting, while being outrebounded by a 41-28 margin. Bulls mates Joakim Noah and Marco Belinelli notched a combined 25 points en route to logging six boards and six assists, respectively. 

The lopsided affair’s 193 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 185 ½, bringing the OVER to 5-1 in the Bulls’ last six games. Miami outscored Chicago in all four quarters, while the matchup saw seven players issued with technical fouls. 

The NBA odds opened Miami as a 6 ½-point road favorite for Game 3, with early wagers on the Heat driving the number north a ‘hook’ to seven. Chicago’s Luol Deng and Kirk Hinrich remain listed as “questionable” to play. 

I am adding a ticket on Chicago to my sports picks, looking for Tom Thibodeau’s crew to stay within cashing range as the series shifts to its floor. The Bulls have a 3-1 spread mark in their last four spots as home dogs, including a cashed ticket in Miami’s last visit to United Center, six weeks ago. 

Chicago has allowed a stingy 89.9 PPG in its last 12 home dates that did not reach overtime, while holding visitors to 33.8 percent shooting from three-point land over the season. Look for the Bulls to drop Miami’s octane back down again here, staying close down the stretch to cash.

NBA Pick:  Chicago Bulls +7 at 5Dimes.eu

[gameodds]5/228704/43/us[/gameodds]

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs

Golden State led by as many as 20 points in Wednesday’s 100-91 defeat of San Antonio, upsetting the Spurs as seven-point road dogs. The Warriors drained 11-of-23 buckets beyond the arc, including an 8-for-9 night from guard Klay Thompson. 

Golden State’s Stephen Curry and Draymond Green united for nine assists, with Curry hitting 7-of-20 field shots in 43 minutes of action. Warriors center Andrew Bogut logged 11 boards, helping his squad edge the Spurs in rebounding, 50-48.

Spurs veterans Tim Duncan and Tony Parker combined for 43 points, with the duo sinking 10-of-12 free throws. San Antonio’s Kawhi Leonard reached double figures for a fifth straight game with 11 points, while adding a postseason-high 12 boards. 

The contest’s 191 points dipped below the NBA odds ‘total’ of 205, making the UNDER 3-1 in Golden State’s last four games. San Antonio outscored the Warriors in the paint, 40-32, while edging out Curry and Co. in fast break points, 19-10.

I have ridden Golden State’s streak of 11-0 ATS in its last four matchups, but am shifting gears to back the OVER here instead. The OVER is 4-1 in the Warriors’ last five home dates, collecting in April’s 116-106 victory over San Antonio as part of that span.

Golden State’s octane should stay strong with a shift to their floor, while San Antonio gets its share of looks in hopes of retaking the series. The Spurs have seen the OVER get the money at 4-1 in their last five spots that came after a loss, with another cashed ticket looming here.

NBA Pick:  OVER at Bookmaker.eu

[gameodds]5/228705/43/us[/gameodds]