Jason’s record on his early NBA picks for 2013-14, up to March 26 inclusive:
With 10 games left to go in the NBA betting season, it looks like we’re going to go down to the wire in the race everyone’s talking about: the race to the bottom of the standings. The Milwaukee Bucks still have the worst record in the league, but the Philadelphia 76ers aren’t giving up their shot at taking the lead for the No. 1 pick in the 2014 NBA Draft – which once again figures to be Andrew Wiggins. Hope he’s worth it. In the meantime, we’ve got some teams on our basketball betting radar who actually want to win.
Indiana vs. Washington (7:00 p.m. ET)
Even when the Pacers (52-20 SU, 35-36-1 ATS) win, they lose. Indiana picked up a huge 84-83 victory over the Miami Heat on Wednesday, opening up a three-game advantage for first place in the East. But Miami beat the NBA lines as 2-point road dogs, dropping the Pacers to 2-14 ATS in their past 16 games. The UNDER is also on a six-game streak for Indiana.
Good time to be an underdog versus the Pacers. And looky here, the Wizards (36-35 SU, 36-34-1 ATS) have opened as 3.5-point home dogs on Friday’s NBA odds board. However, Washington is in its own betting funk at 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS over the past 10 games. Should we go for the UNDER in this situation? It’s 5-5 for the Wiz during this slump, but that includes a pair of overtime games, so let’s go ahead and dial it up.
NBA Pick: Take UNDER 190.5 at BetOnline
Charlotte vs. Orlando (7:00 p.m. ET)
We’ve had plenty of good things to say about the Bobcats (35-37 SU, 41-28-3 ATS) this year, and they just keep on producing: 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS over the past nine games, and 11-7 SU and 11-6-1 ATS since trading Ramon Sessions (14.7 PER in Charlotte) to the Bucks for Luke Ridnour (7.4 PER) and Gary Neal (13.9 PER). We won’t see Neal for a while, though – he’s been shut down for healing purposes, but Chris Douglas-Roberts (12.2 PER) has been playing his best ball of the season, so it’s all good for now.
The Magic (20-52 SU, 30-40-2 ATS) are in third place in the Tank Brigade, and they’re doing a fine job of it at 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. Jameer Nelson (13.9 PER) has missed four games with a bum knee; he might return on Friday, which would deny us the opportunity to watch Victor Oladipo (13.5 PER) try to run the point. But it’s not like either player can stack up to Kemba Walker (17.1 PER) at this point.
NBA Pick: Take Charlotte –4 at The Greek
Memphis vs. Golden State (10:30 p.m ET)
Something’s gone wrong with Golden State (44-27 SU, 33-35-3 ATS). Assistant coach Brian Scalabrine has been demoted to the D-League, and for some reason, there’s chatter that head coach Mark Jackson won’t be around next year. Maybe people just don’t appreciate defense. The UNDER is an NBA-best 42-27-2 for the Dubs this year and 8-3-1 in their past dozen games.
Conveniently enough, Golden State’s next game is against the Grizzlies (43-28 SU, 33-36-2 ATS, UNDER 38-33), who have the UNDER at 7-1 in their past eight. Memphis runs the slowest pace in the league at 92.1 possessions per game. The Warriors run much more quickly at No. 5 overall (98.6), but their offense has been fairly mediocre this year, therefore the Jackson rumors. Bad for him; good for us. Now we just need the NBA lines to comply once they’re released, which should be the case by the time you read this. May the sphere be with you.
NBA Pick: Take the UNDER