NBA Picks: Friday NBA Value Betting

Jason Lake

Thursday, November 14, 2013 1:19 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 1:19 PM GMT

Friday’s NBA betting slate takes us on a tour of the best (and worst) teams in the league, including the undefeated Indiana Pacers and the one-win Utah Jazz. 

NBA Betting: Picks of the Day

Jason’s record on his final NFL picks for 2013, up to November 13 inclusive: 3-7 ATS

Every NBA game has at least one basketball betting angle. But that’s hardly enough reason for you to get up off your couch and pull out your wallet. You want strong angles, and lots of them, pointing and screaming at you to pick a certain team. If they happen to be playing on TNT or ESPN or even your local dime-store broadcaster, even better. Watch and learn. 

Each of these three games from Friday’s schedule has an extra serving of special NBA betting sauce. We’ve got the front end of the latest doubleheader on the Worldwide Leader; first up, it’s the only undefeated team in the league, ready to dial it up against one of the Eastern Conference’s lesser lights. NBA lines for Friday have yet to be released as we go to press, but I’m picking sides anyway. Be prepared to go in a different direction if the basketball odds come out funny. 

Milwaukee at Indiana (7:00 p.m. ET, FSN) 

You knew the Pacers (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) were going places after they took the Miami Heat to seven games in the 2013 playoffs, then brought Larry Bird back for another run as president of basketball operations. The priority during the offseason was to strengthen the bench, which they did with the additions of PF Luis Scola (16.1 points, 6.5 rebounds per 36 minutes) and PG C.J. Watson. Now there are no particular flaws left on this Pacers team – just excellent betting value from a small-market title contender. 

Milwaukee (2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS) took a different path this offseason, shedding players like PG Brandon Jennings, SG Monta Ellis and SG J.J. Redick. There’s still talent on this team, but many of the Bucks are injured or playing hurt, including center Larry Sanders (thumb). They’ve lost three in a row; kick them while they’re down.

NBA Pick: Take the Pacers

Minnesota at Denver (8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Speaking of small-market teams, this is your chance to grab the Timberwolves (6-3 SU, 7-2 ATS) before too many people realize they’re good again. Freed from the tyranny of the David Kahn regime, and with both PF Kevin Love (29.1 PER) and PG Ricky Rubio (9.3 assists per 36 minutes) finally healthy, Minnesota is making waves in the Northwest Division.

The Nuggets (3-4 SU and ATS) just finished beating the tired Los Angeles Lakers (+10) 111-99 at the Pepsi Center; now Denver will try to do the same against a much younger, healthier and better-rested Wolves team. Getting anything done in the paint against Love and center Nikola Pekovic (9.8 rebounds per 36 minutes) will be difficult without injured center JaVale McGee, and center Timofey Mozgov is unlikely to repeat his 23-point performance from Wednesday’s Lakers matchup

NBA Pick: Take the Timberwolves 

San Antonio at Utah (9:00 p.m. ET, FSN)

While other teams in this year’s Tank Brigade are spoiling things by actually winning games, the Jazz (1-8 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) have been reliably awful – for the most part – at losing. I say for the most part because Utah (+2.5 at home) just polished off the New Orleans Pelicans 111-105. Then again, everyone’s beating the Pelicans these days. That’s another story for another time.

The Spurs (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) have bagged the cash in three straight games, and have pretty much taken over the Southwest Division at this point. What can I say, they’re the Spurs. They’re sixth in the NBA in offensive efficiency, third in defensive efficiency, and first in boring the hell out of people. If they were stocks, Warren Buffett would buy them. So will I.

NBA Pick: Take the Spurs at William Hill

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