NBA Picks: Free Agency Update 7/08

Tuesday, July 8, 2014 4:16 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 8, 2014 4:16 PM UTC

After there were talks that we might know of Carmelo Anthony’s decision by the end of the holiday weekend, it seems as if he still needs time to decide. There have been many different rumors, and it seems as if everyone is waiting for that first domino to fall.

<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!-- td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --> </style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;font-weight:bold;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></span></p> <p><b>Calm before the storm</b><br /> <span style="font-size:1em">The lack of information, and the influx in rumors could mean that the NBA’s tectonic plates are shifting, and any day now we could be in store for a huge day of NBA news. There are multiple reports out there that are making Miami and New York fans nervous, while fans of the Cavs, Lakers and Rockets are all probably going crazy with anticipation right now.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em"><a href="/nba-basketball/news/nba-picks-nba-free-agency-update-a-40552/" target="_blank" title="Let's take a look back at our previous NBA Free Agency Update">As of Tuesday afternoon,</a> nothing has hit the news wires that would give us any indication as to where the stars are going. However there was a report by Marc Stein that could give some hope to Miami fans. We already know about the max-deal the Rockets offered to <a href="" target="_blank" title="Players and 'cappers discuss Bosh's value and talent">Chris Bosh</a>, however a report by Stein indicates that Carmelo Anthony wants Bosh to leave Miami. This would almost certainly mean that Carmelo hasn’t ruled out teaming up with Lebron in Miami if Bosh moves onto somewhere else.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">If this scenario were to happen, Dwyane Wade would be losing even more money that we think he’s going to lose, but it would immediately put the Heat back to the top of the East, and likely the NBA as well, <a href="/picks/nba/" target="_blank" title="NBA Handicapping at its best at Sportsbook Review">not to mention an excellent betting pick for gamblers.</a> Taking a look at Miami’s cap situation, if Bosh leaves, and Lebron James signs a max deal, Melo could take a slight pay cut to come to Miami.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">It’s still far from a done deal, but it might mean that Bosh holds more power than any free agent currently on the market, Melo and Lebron included. Bosh’s tough decision to go to a slightly worse team for a whole lot more money is a tough one, but in the end I could see the Texas native heading back home to sign that reported $90 million offer. It’s a lot more than the $11-12 million that Miami was reportedly offering.</span></p> <p><br /> <b style="font-size:1em">New signings</b><br /> <span style="font-size:1em">Since last week there hasn’t been much news, however there have been some very questionable signings among the NBA’s Southeast division. Last week Ben Gordon reportedly signed a $4.5 million contract to come to <a href="/nba-basketball/team-report/orlando-19/" target="_blank" title="Team Report: Orlando Magic">Orlando</a>, and if that wasn’t enough to get people to start questioning Rob Hennigan, the Magic went out and <a href="" target="_blank" title="Is Frye worth the contract? share your thoughts with the SBR Forum">gave Channing Frye four years and $32 million.</a> Yes, the same Channing Frye who scored 11 points per game last season while losing minutes to the Morris Twins.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">While that sinks in, I’ll also mention that Frye’s average annual salary would be higher than Lance Stephenson’s if Lance accepted the Pacers’ original offer of five years and $44 million. This is how backwards the NBA has become, and while it’s obvious that the general public misjudges what players’ are worth, I’m beginning to think that some GMs do as well. Hennigan may have won the Dwight Howard trade in the end, but he has now seemingly botched three key moves this offseason for Orlando. He traded Aaron Afflalo for next to nothing when he could have gotten more at the trade deadline last season, and now he has signed two players who combined to shoot about 32% from three-point range last season to a total of $12.5 million for next season. Think Stephenson would have signed with the Magic for $12 million per season over the next four years? Probably not, but that might be the total of what he signs for somewhere else. <a href="" target="_blank" title="Share your thoughts with other bettors in the SBR Forum">Who would you rather have, Ben Gordon and Channing Frye, or Stephenson for the same money?</a></span></p>
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