NBA Picks: Easy Win for Spurs at Home Against Nuggets

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, November 18, 2015 6:06 PM GMT

The Spurs are finding their groove now, and that's why they're the firm favorites on the NBA odds board for tonight's matchup with Denver.

Odds Overview
This is an extremely favorable situation for the Spurs, and that much is reflected in the NBA odds that can be found out there. Anywhere you look, you'll see San Antonio laying a huge number.

Just how bad is the damage? The Spurs are favored by 13.5 at most of the books, but you can also find 13 sprinkled in here and there. As for the total, that can be locked in at 196 as of now; a fair number when you consider just how good San Antonio has been defensively this season, ranking first in the NBA in scoring defense. More on that in a bit.

 

San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs have been one of the hottest teams in the league, having won five straight games leading into tonight. They're 8-2 overall and are on top of the Southwest division, a position we should see them occupy for the entire season, more or less. 

Indeed, San Antonio appears to be getting better and better, and that's bad news for the rest of the NBA. LaMarcus Aldridge has settled in nicely, as has David West, albeit in a smaller role, and the Spurs continue to get consistent, steady play out of the likes of Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green. We really shouldn't be surprised to see them performing at this high of a level, and it's something we'll be seeing all year long.

A dominant defense has paved the way for San Antonio to play so well. The Spurs are surrendering a mere 90.6 points per game, which is the best mark in the league. They're averaging nearly 102 points per game offensively, so they've been holding their own their as well, which is why they've been so dangerous.

 

Denver Nuggets
It's been a solid couple of weeks for the Nuggets too, as they've won four of their last five games to improve to 6-5. They're in first place in the weaker Northwest division, and they have been much more competitive overall early on this season. Danilo Gallinari has been lights out as the primary scoring option, and rookie Emmanuel Mudiay has proven to be a wise investment, at least from his early body of work.

Throw in other talented players like Kenneth Faried and Jameer Nelson, and it's not all that strange to see Denver playing solid basketball. Last night we saw the Nuggets take care of business in a 115-98 road win over a Pelicans team that was without stud Anthony Davis for practically the entire game after he left early with an injury.

Gallinari was a monster in the victory, but faces a much tougher matchup alongside the rest of New Orleans against this experienced and deep San Antonio team. It's likely going to be tough sledding for the Nuggets.

 

Final Analysis
OK, so you're a little afraid to have to lay such a big number. We get it. It sure is a lot of points, and the Nuggets have been more competitive this season.

But, San Antonio is on another level, and the Spurs are the more rested team. With the home crowd also behind them, we can picture this game getting out of hand quickly and turning into a blowout. Leonard is back and should have another all-around strong effort on both ends of the court, and even with Ginobili missing, we know the Spurs have more than enough depth to cope and be just fine.

So, with our NBA picks for this Western Conference battle, we're going with the big home favorites.

NBA Pick: Spurs -13 at Pinnacle

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