NBA Picks: Dreary Rockets Shouldn't Be Favored This Much, Take Sixers +10.5

Friday, November 27, 2015 4:24 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 27, 2015 4:24 PM UTC

Philadelphia is still winless on the season, but 8-8 against the NBA odds, 3-0 ATS over its last three games. Can the Sixers make it four in a row Friday night in Houston?

<p style="margin-bottom:0in;"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Sixers-Rockets Live Odds Board"><b>Sixers-Rockets Betting Odds</b></a><br /> Most of Friday's <a href="" target="_blank" title="See Live NBA Odds Here">NBA odds</a> market opened this game with Houston favored by 12 points, the O/U offered at right around 201. In the early betting most books dropped the Rockets to -11, and the total to 199.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">Those who think Philly has a chance to win this game outright – which would be a first on this season – could get a moneyline price of +518 <a href=";book=inarticle5dimes" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Start Playing at 5Dimes Today">at 5Dimes</a>.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"><b>The Situation</b><br /> Houston (5-10 SU, 3-12 ATS) has lost three games in a row, and seven of its last eight, after going down at home against Memphis Wednesday night 102-93. The Rockets only trailed by a couple of buckets early in the fourth quarter, but went dead cold from there, and faded.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">Houston shot just 42 percent from the field Wednesday, just 35 percent without James Harden, and turned the ball over 20 times.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">Last Sunday the Rockets lost at home to New York 107-102, and last Friday they lost at Memphis 96-84. So canning Coach McHale hasn't done much to improve Houston's performance yet.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">Philly, meanwhile, is still winless on the season at 0-16, but is 8-8 against the Great Equalizer, the point spread. The Sixers have also covered three games in a row, after falling at Boston Wednesday night 84-80 but covering as 11-point road dogs. Philly actually led the Celtics by 11 points midway through the fourth quarter, but got outscored from there 18-3.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">On the night the Sixers only shot 37 percent from the floor, made just seven of 27 shots from 3-point land and committed 19 turnovers. But they kept things close by limiting Boston to just 34 percent shooting and holding their own on the boards.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">Monday Philly lost at Minnesota 100-95 but much to this handicapper's delight covered at +7; and last Saturday the Sixers lost at Miami 96-91 but covered at +12. Sooner or later Philly is going to win a game; the trick is to bet the right night.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"><b>Sixers-Rockets Recent History</b><br /> Houston has beaten Philly three times in a row, including a sweep of two games last season, but the Sixers covered both games last year. First the Rockets won at Philly 104-93, but the Sixers covered as 12-point home dogs; then Houston won at home 88-87 but Philly covered easily at +16.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">The Sixers actually outshot the Rockets in those two games combined by a 44-40 percent margin, but committed 44 turnovers, although Houston wasn't much better, committing 43 turnovers. Maybe that's why both those games played UNDER totals of 200 and 206.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"><b>Sixers-Rockets Totals Trends</b><br /> Philly is 8-8 on the totals this season, as Sixers games have averaged 193 points.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;">Houston is 9-6 on the UNDERS, even though Rockets games have averaged 207 points.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"><b>Free NBA Picks</b><br /> Philadelphia can tie the NBA record for consecutive defeats – one it already holds - at 26 with a loss Friday night, and seems a team in total disarray. But the Sixers have held fourth-quarter leads in each of their last three games, covering each time out. Houston, meanwhile, is a huge disappointment so far, and probably shouldn't be favored by this much against anybody. We'll take Philly here, plus the points for our <a href="" target="_blank" title="See More Free NBA Picks Here">NBA picks</a>. Also, these teams played a pair of UNDERS last season, and neither is shooting the ball very well this year. So we're thinking UNDER.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in;"><b>Free NBA Picks:</b> Sixers +10.5 at 5Dimes and UNDER 198.5 <a href=";book=inarticlepinnacle" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play &amp; Win at Pinnacle">at Pinnacle</a></p> <p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2882692, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p>
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