NBA Picks: Disrespected Rockets to Handle Business at Home vs Boston

Charles Stark

Monday, November 16, 2015 1:57 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 16, 2015 1:57 PM GMT

It's no secret that I'm a big fan of  the Boston Celtics for how they play basketball. After an emotionally tough win last night in Oklahoma, let's analyze the NBA odds to choose an NBA pick for you.

NBA odds
NBA odds makers have made the Rockets a -5.5 favorite at home across the board. That is fine with me and for one of my NBA picks, I will lay the points with the Rockets. There are some good odds out there where you can take the Rockets minus the points at -105 like at Pinnacle.

 

Boston Celtics
Boston comes in averaging 101.8 points per game, shooting 41.6% from the field, and 29.1% from beyond the arc. Their numbers have not been that great on offense as far as percentages go but they have been playing good defense and found a solid identity. They put up a lot of three-pointers per game averaging 27.9 per contest which ranks fourth in the NBA. They are coming off a really nice win against the Durant less Oklahoma City Thunder, in Oklahoma.

Defensively Boston is allowing 97.4 points per game, 42.8% shooting from the field, and 33.7% from beyond the arc. They are really playing a lot better defense this year and have been solid in limiting assists and field-goal attempts per game allowing just 82 per contest which ranks third in the league. They have put a lot more stock this year into how they should play as a defensive unit compared to last year.

 

Houston Rockets
Houston comes in averaging 101.4 points per game, shooting 42.3% from the field, and 28.4% from beyond the arc. Not great numbers at all, and the last game they had was one of the worst first halves that they have had in the last couple of years. It is true they have not played as well as people have anticipated, but I think it's a bit too soon to write them off. They haven't had Dwight Howard back at full strength and it seems that Ty Lawson is simply not playing as well as I believe he is capable of. As Howard starts to get healthy, expect the Rockets to start to climb back into the playoff hunt.

Defensively, Houston is allowing 108.3 points per game, 37% shooting from the field, and 36.9% shooting from beyond the arc. This is not going to cut it and I think they know it. All the pieces are there to play good defense, but they simply have not circled the wagons yet to get more stops. Again, this is another area in which they desperately need Dwight Howard to be healthy.

I think Houston is going to come in with a little bit of fire tonight considering that what is being written about them right now is all negative. Expect James Harden and Dwight Howard to dominate this game and for Houston to win by around double digits. For one of your NBA picks, I recommend backing the Rockets in this spot against the travel weary Boston Celtics.

Free NBA Pick: Rockets -5.5

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