NBA Picks - Dallas Mavericks Under 39.5 Wins For 2016-2017 Season

Dallas Mavericks player Harrison Barnes in action

Joe Catalano

Sunday, October 9, 2016 9:02 PM GMT

The Dallas Mavericks, who have been one of the better teams over the last decade, have taken a dramatic drop in talent this season. We look at the projected 39 1/2 win total for the Mavs and realize that it's no typo as this roster looks depleted. Will Dallas go over or under the 39.5 win total? Find out here.

 

A Maverick For Life

Owner Marc Cuban has already stated that he want's aging superstar, Dirk Nowitzki, to be a member of the Dallas Mavericks for his entire career. After all, Nowitzki has been one of the best offensive big men in the game and has delivered Cuban with an NBA Title. Although 38 years old, Nowitzki is still playing at a relatively high level as he's coming off of a 18.3 points and 6.5 rebounds per game season. Don't expect much of a dropoff for Nowitzki despite his minutes getting slightly cut. This team need's offense and Dirk Nowitzki is still the best source of offense on this squad.

 

David Lee

When Dirk's not playing, David Lee will provide solid minutes. This was once a guy that averaged 20 points and 10 rebounds per game and then he got injured and Golden State decided to go in a different direction. I find it difficult to believe that David Lee's game simply disappeared. If given the minutes, Lee will be a reliable source of offense and defense along the interior.

 

Players On the Decline

Along with his hairline, his game is starting to disappear. I'm referring to point guard Deron Williams, who was once touted as the face of the franchise for the Brooklyn Nets. Now, "D. Will" is a slightly above average point guard who is inconsistent and has a poor outside shot. Williams averaged 14.1 points and 5.8 assists last season and the Mavericks will desperately need Williams to be at his best.

Backing Williams up is Devin Harris and J.J. Barea. Harris is also a former Net, whose better years were with the Nets and is now a fill-in. J.J. Barea adds a nice spark off of the bench. This is a player that tends to be streaky at time, but will provide this team with energy and will only make the Mavs a better club.

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Big Contract, Small Numbers

Wesley Matthews had some solid years as a member of the Portland Trail Blazers, but had a slight dropoff in production as a member of the Dallas Mavericks last season. Matthews has the body of a power forward, but his revolves around the perimeter as he's a spot up shooter. Last season, Matthews averaged 12.5 points and 3.1 rebounds per game. Look for a similar season out of Matthews this season. He's a secondary form of offense, but can put the rock in the ocean during crucial moments of a game, but is average at best.

 

"Center" of Attention

Andrew Bogut had a nice run with Milwaukee and played a different role with the Golden State Warriors as his minutes were limited, but he did win a championship and was a key member of the team at times. The problem with Bogut is the amount of minutes that he can provide. He'll have more opportunity on the offensive end, but the Mavericks are catching a player at the tail end of his career.

7 foot 2, 245 pound, Salah Mejri will also see a significant uptick in his minutes at the center position. Mejri only played 11.7 minutes per game last season and averaged 3.7 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. I don't see him making a difference on this team with the exception of being a space eater and playing solid defense with his ability to block shots.

 

A Chance To Excel

One player that will definitely benefit from switching teams will be Harrison Barnes. Barnes didn't get the offensive opportunities with the Warriors that he'll get with the Mavs. He's a young player with a high upside. I expect for his game to improve and this could be a break out season for Barnes, who averaged 11.7 points and 4.9 rebounds per game last year.

Overall, this is an aging team with players on the down side of their respective careers. 39.5 wins is asking too much from this group of players. I suggest for you to look at the under for your NBA pick here.

 

Free NBA Pick: Dallas Mavericks Under 39.5 Wins

 

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