NBA Picks: Clippers vs. Kings

PJ Laferla

Tuesday, March 19, 2013 2:04 PM GMT

Free NBA picks for tonight's matchup between the LA Clippers and the Sacramento Kings. Where do our NBA handicappers believe that the best value lies?

The last matchup on the NBA odds boards for tonight will showcase a perennial title contender in the Los Angeles Clippers (46-21 SU, 37-29-1) going up against the Sacramento Kings (23-44 SU, 29-37-1 ATS), who are a lottery bound team playing for ping pong balls at this point in the season.

The game is set to tip off at 10:05 PM EST from the Sleep Train Arena in Sacramento, California and can be seen live on television with broadcast coverage provided by Prime Ticket and Comcast SportsNet.

Sportsbooks such as Bookmaker have pegged the visiting Clippers as -9 point favorites on the odds boards, which could be good news for bettors wanting to lay the chalk, as the underdog is just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these squads.

The total is hovering around 209 ½ at most books, but while that number is certainly achievable, seven of the last ten matchups between these teams have stayed under when meeting in Sacramento.

That being said, where should we look for value with our NBA picks tonight?

[gameodds]5/222069/43/us[/gameodds]

Inside The Numbers

The Clippers have won seven of ten SU and have been paying off for bettors who have been backing Lob City as of late. In fact, the Clippers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five matchups when facing a team with a record below the .500 mark and they are also an impressive 5-1 ATS in their last six games played away from the Staples Center. Additionally, the Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Kings.

Los Angeles has eclipsed the total in five of their last six versus Pacific Division foes, but they are under in five of six coming off a SU win.

Meanwhile, the Kings have lost four of their last six games overall, but own some nice numbers where it matters most. The Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played at home and 4-0 ATS following a game where they failed to cover the point spread. The Kings are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 matchups when facing a team with a winning record.

Sacramento has gone over the posted total in 13 of their last 17 games overall, but they are under in 18 of the last 26 meetings with the Clippers.

The Pick

If the Clippers jump out to a quick start, they will most likely earn the SU win, as they are a sterling 35-2 when leading after the first quarter. However, our concern is if that can cover the spread.

Los Angeles owns the 8th rated offense (100.8 PPG) in the NBA this season and tonight they get to feast off the Kings poor defense, which ranks dead last in the league; so there should be no concern if the Clippers can cover, because they should easily handle the Kings en route to a SU win, coming by a huge margin.

NBA Pick: LA Clippers - 9

Take a look at our NBA Picks of the Day article for another take on this game.