NBA Picks: Clippers vs. Grizzlies Game 6

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 3, 2013 11:14 AM GMT

Friday, May. 3, 2013 11:14 AM GMT

The Los Angeles Clippers have lost and failed to cover the spread in three consecutive games against the Memphis Grizzlies, but they may offer value in the NBA betting market Friday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 6 of this Western Conference quarterfinal series at FedExForum, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Slipping away 

Los Angeles jumped out to a 2-0 series lead against Memphis, but now finds itself on the brink of elimination in this best-of-seven series in the 2013 NBA playoffs, as it suffered a 103-93 defeat as 5.5-point home favorites Tuesday. 

The Clippers are 11-3 straight up (SU) and 10-4 against the spread (ATS) when revenging a loss as a favorite, with the OVER going 8-6 in that situation. 

Need to close things out 

Memphis definitely wants to end things on its home court, as it finished the regular season with a 32-9 record at this venue, including a 20-6 mark versus conference foes. 

The Grizzlies are 1-3 SUATS when attempting to close out a playoff series the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER cashing in three of the four opportunities. 

Battle on the boards 

NBA handicappers will find that the team that has won all five games in this series has won the rebounding battle, which can’t be ignored when looking over the pro basketball odds page Friday. 

The Grizzlies are averaging 100.3 points in winning the last three games, which has been made possible by enjoying a +14.7 advantage in second-chance points.

Clippers power forward Blake Griffin is listed as a game-time decision with a high ankle sprain, which could be a major factor in which side wins the battle on the boards, but it’s important to note that DeAndre Jordan (9.6) and Lamar Odom (9.0) are the top two individual rebounders per 36 minutes of action in this series.

[gameodds]5/228468/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Clippers as one of their NBA picks Friday, as they’ll likely tip off as a underdog of 6.5 or more points for the first time since the start of the regular season, while the Grizzlies are 8-10 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points. 

NBA Pick:  Los Angeles Clippers +6.5 at Bet365

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