NBA Picks: Clippers vs. Grizzlies Game 3

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, April 24, 2013 11:30 AM GMT

The Los Angeles Clippers have won nine games in a row dating back to the regular season, but that streak will likely come to an end against the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 3 of this Western Conference quarterfinal series at the FedExForum, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Winning streak

Los Angeles is currently enjoying its third-longest winning streak in franchise history dating back to the regular season, as it captured a 93-91 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies as 5.5-point home favorites Monday to take a 2-0 lead in this best-of-seven series. 

It’s important to remember that this squad set a franchise record by winning 17 games in a row from Nov. 28 to Dec. 30, 2012. 

The Clippers are 23-15 straight up (SU) and 20-18 against the spread (ATS) when playing against a team with a winning record, with the OVER going 21-17 in that situation. 

Gut check time 

Memphis established new club records for regular season wins and overall winning percentage in clinching its third consecutive playoff berth, but it now finds itself two losses away from being eliminated from the postseason by Los Angeles in back-to-back seasons.

The Grizzlies are 30-17 SU and 31-16 ATS when playing with double revenge versus an opponent, with the UNDER holding a slim 24-22-1 advantage in those 47 opportunities. 

Dangerous dog? 

NBA handicappers are going to have a hard time not backing the Clippers when looking over the SBR Odds page, as they’ve gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six trips to Memphis, while the underdog has covered four of the last five overall meetings in this series.

Los Angeles became the 51st team in NBA history to take a 2-0 series lead in a best-of-seven series in the first round, with 47 of those squads advancing, but posting a 22-28 record in Game 3 of the series. 

Hard to ignore

The Grizzlies have gone 6-0-1 ATS in their seven playoff wins dating back to 2011—covering those affairs by an average of 6.5 points.  Memphis has covered the number in 34 of 52 games as a home favorite of six points or less the last two-plus seasons.

[gameodds]5/226790/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Grizzlies as one of their NBA picks in Game 3, as they’ve compiled a 26-11 ATS record in their last 37 home games versus a team with a winning road record. 

Los Angeles accomplished its goal of winning the first two games at the Staples Center, but may come out a bit flat after winning the last one in buzzer-beating fashion. 

NBA Pick:  Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 at Pinnacle