Clippers Are The Value Bet Against Celtics

Sunday, March 10, 2019 8:34 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 10, 2019 8:34 PM UTC

Celtics and Clippers look to continue winning form when they collide on Monday night, but something is going to have to give. The NBA odds couldn’t be more delicately poised. Here’s how we line up our choice NBA picks.

 

Celtics (41-26 SU, 33-32--2 ATS) vs Clippers (38-29 SU, 39-26-0 ATS)

Monday, 10:30 p.m. ET
Free NBA Pick: Clippers
Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Boston is riding a three-game winning streak, all of which were on the road and includes wins over Golden State, Sacramento and Los Angeles Lakers. Indeed, the win over the defending champions appears to have been the catalyst for their recent spate of positive results. It snapped a poor run of form that was marked by just one win in six games prior to their date with Golden State.

Overall, the Celtics are riding high in the Eastern Conference and well within a shot of a playoff berth in fifth place in the chase. They are neck-and-neck with Philadelphia (41 wins as of Sunday) and a good six wins ahead of their nearest rivals in the table.

On the betting floor, the Celtics boast a modest 33-32-2 ATS record, which includes a 5.7 winning margin on average. As the away team, the Celtics are merely 13-18-2 ATS however, with a 2.7 winning margin on average. And it is also worth noting that they are just 1-2 ATS during this recent run of winning form and just 4-6 ATS over their last ten games.

Yet, they Celtics are trading as the mere -1.5 road favorites against the spread, depending on your choice top rated sportsbook. It’s early yet and the betting is just picking up, so it remains to be seen whether the Celtics will indeed close as the road favorites before game time on Monday night.

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Bravo, Gallo!

34 points marks a new season-high for @gallinari8888! pic.twitter.com/S2qRa5cRYT

— LA Clippers (@LAClippers) March 9, 2019
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Clippers are riding a healthy four-game winning streak into this game and they’ll be looking to keep that solid run of form going at the expense of Boston. Overall, the Clippers are 7-3 SU in their last ten games and 19-12 SU at home for the season.

As far as the playoff race goes, the Clippers are in the mix but in no way assured a spot just yet. They are seventh in the Western Conference standings and a mere victory ahead of the San Antonio Spurs (at the time of writing, on Sunday, March 10). There’s everything to play for yet. One could say, that is quite the incentive for the Clippers ahead of Monday night.

Given their current standing and placement it’s no real surprise that the Clippers are marginally disadvantaged on the NBA odds board. They opened as the nominal home dogs at +1.5 against the spread across most sportsbooks.

Although bookmakers might be taking a slight stance against the Clippers, the home dogs can look toward a positive 39-26-0 ATS record for comfort, which is up there amongst the best in the league this season. Indeed, the Clippers are third best performers against the spread after Milwaukee and Sacramento. That’s pretty nifty company to be keeping, don’t you think?

At home the Clippers are a positive18-13-0 ATS with a 3.4 winning margin on average. Where they fall slightly short of the mark is as the home underdog with a 2-6-0 ATS record and a -7.1 losing margin on average. OF course, one has to take into account the quality of the opposition that in turn made them the home dogs in those particular games.

NBA Betting Verdict: As it is, this game is finely poised on the NBA odds board suggesting it could go either way for your NBA picks. Both teams are riding positive form, which lends value to both sides of the coin for the SU win. For our money, the Clippers need this win just that much bit more than the Celtics do in the context of the playoffs.

In any event, the value bet looks to be the Clippers as the +1.5 home underdogs to cover. And given their recent run of form which, mind you, includes six straight covers against the spread, one has to concede they practically leap off the page as a good bet to consider.

NBA Picks: Clippers/ Pinnacle

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