NBA Picks: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls to Go 'Under' 201

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, February 12, 2015 6:55 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 12, 2015 6:55 PM UTC

The NBA decided to screw the Cavs and Bulls into playing on the day everyone else gets to start their All Star Break, and the NBA Odds have the Cavs as favorites anywhere from a PK to -2, with a total of 200 ½. Who will win this final game of the first half?

Cavs off back to back
Last night the Cavs easily took care of the Miami Heat without Dwyane Wade, as they won the game 113-93. Lebron James messed around and almost got a triple double, and the Cavs cruised throughout the game against the slower paced Heat. Now they travel into Chicago, a seemingly tougher game, especially on the back to back.

However the Bulls haven’t exactly been playing well recently, even though they beat the Kings in their most recent game. To make matters worse for Chicago, their most accomplished Lebron James defender, Jimmy Butler has a shoulder injury and is listed as questionable for tonight’s game, and since this is the last game he could play in before the break, it would not surprise me at all to see Butler sit this one out. Nothing is confirmed from the Bulls yet, but it seems like it would be detrimental to Butler if the Bulls rolled him out there less than 100%, and expected him to defend Lebron.

So potentially without Butler, this one could get interesting. The Bulls will have to play Tony Snell on James, which isn’t a complete loss, but James will be able to get whatever he wants on the smaller Snell. Mike Dunleavy will also likely be charged with defending Lebron some, and coming off his ankle injury, I doubt they force him to do much of that.

Get Another Handicapper's Take on this Matchup

The Sharp Pick
However as bad as they’ve been on defense this season compared to years past, I see the Bulls locking down on defense tonight, Butler or no Butler. Plus, this game falls right into our very successful system of betting the under between two winning teams when the total is between 196 ½ and 204. This system from Sports insights has cashed us multiple winners, including last nights Thunder and Grizzlies game.

The Cavs are 8-6 cashing the under o the second night of a back to back this season, and in conference games they are 18-12 cashing the under. This is even more impressive knowing hoe bad they were on defense to start the season, and it’s even further evidence of why the 'Under' is a solid choice for your NBA picks tonight. The Bulls have been better at cashing the 'Under' on the road this season that at home, but I doubt that matters too much in this big national TV game. Plus, the 'Under' has cashed in the last five games in a row for the Bulls, and the 'Under' is 5-1 in their last six games as an underdog. The Cavs on the other hand have cashed the 'Under' in 19 of their last 27 games overall, and seven of their last ten road games. Plus the 'Under' is 6-2 for the Cavs in their last eight games as road favorites, and the 'Under' is 6-0 in their last six against teams with winning percentages of 60% or better.

My Free NBA Pick: UNDER 201 

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