NBA Picks: Celtics vs. Grizzlies

PJ Laferla

Saturday, March 23, 2013 1:44 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 23, 2013 1:44 PM GMT

Free NBA picks for tonight's matchup between the Boston Celtics and the Memphis Grizzlies. Where do our NBA handicappers believe that the best value lies?

The Boston Celtics (36-32 SU, 12-20-2 ATS away) will pay a visit to the FedEx Forum tonight to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (46-22 SU, 19-15-1 ATS home), who have been one of the toughest teams to be on their home court all season.

The game is set to tip off at 8:00 PM EST and can be seen live on television, with broadcast coverage provided by Comcast SportsNet.

Online sportsbooks, including Bookmaker have positioned the Grizzlies as -8 point favorites on the NBA odds boards, but the road team is an impressive 17-5-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings when these two squads collide on the court.

The games total is hovering around 178 ½ points, which seems low but is certainly expected when Memphis is involved in a contest. The Grizzlies own the top rated defense in the NBA, holding opponents to fewer than 90 points per game (89.2).

Let's breakdown this matchup and decide where the best value lies for our sports picks tonight.

[gameodds]5/222361/43/us[/gameodds]

Overall, the Celtics have been paying off for us bettors lately, going 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games, but on the road they have failed to cover in each of their last four matchups played away from the TD Garden. 

However, Boston is a very good team when facing upper echelon opponents, as they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven when facing a squad with a winning percentage above .600 and 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a SU winning record.

The Celtics have stayed under the total in four of five on the road and six of seven versus the Southwest.

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies own some impressive numbers against the spread, which include a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five versus the Atlantic, 10-3 ATS in the last 13 that follow a game where they failed to cover and 19-7 in the last 26 versus Eastern Conference adversaries.

More recently however, the Grizzlies are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played at FedEx Forum and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall.

As expected, Memphis is under in their last six consecutive games overall and 22 of 32 against the Eastern Conference.

The Pick

There is a bit of irony here with the road team taking six of the last seven SU in the head to head matchup, but the Celtics have really struggled on the highway versus the Western Conference this season, winning just 2 of 13 games in that situation.

For Memphis, they will embrace their home court tonight since they won’t see it again consecutively on their schedule through the final stretch run of the regular season.

The combined formula in this game of the Grizzlies impeccable home record and the Celtics lack of success on the road is to heavy for the Boston to overcome.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -8 at Bookmaker

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