NBA Picks: Celtics vs. Cavaliers to Go 'Under' in Game 2

Ross Benjamin

Monday, April 20, 2015 11:40 AM UTC

Monday, Apr. 20, 2015 11:40 AM UTC

We’ll be examining Game 2 of the NBA Playoff series between Boston and Cleveland on Tuesday. Do the Celtics have any chance of pulling the upset on the road as a huge underdog? Will Cleveland be able to not only win, but can they cover as a double digit favorite? Read our informative betting preview article on this contest in order to have the ultimate edge.

Celtics look to even Series versus Cavaliers on Tuesday
The Cleveland Cavaliers will host the Boston Celtics on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. This will be Game 2 of their best of seven Eastern Conference Quarterfinal series in which Cleveland leads 1-0. According to the NBA betting odds at Bookmaker, Cleveland is an 11.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 207.0. These teams have now met five times this season, and Cleveland has gone 3-2 in those encounters.


Game 1 Recap
The Cavaliers won Game 1 of this series by a score of 113-100, covering as an 11.5 point favorite, and the contest easily went over the total of 204.0. The Celtics had a 31-27 lead at the end of one quarter but were outscored 86-69 the rest of the way. The teams combined to go 21-for-53 (39.6%) from beyond the three-point line, and 44-for-55 (80%) from the free throw line. Cleveland had a large rebounding advantage of 46-34, and that included fifteen offensive boards.


NBA Totals Angle
The Boston Celtics are a cumulative +55.0 points ATS during their past five games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are a combined -62.5 points ATS in their previous ten games. Those two statistical results, in addition to the current total on this contest, qualified for a rare but extremely successful betting angle, and I’ll strongly consider that handicapping asset when my NBA picks for Tuesday.

Any team (Boston) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that covered their last five games by a cumulative 42.0 points or more, versus an opponent who was -48.0 points or more combined ATS during their previous ten games, resulted in that team going under the total in 28 of those 36-games (77.8%) since 1996. There were also 24 of those 36-games that stayed under the total by a decisive 7.0 points or more. The average posted total in all of those contests was 204.3, and the averaged combined points scored was197.8.

NBA Pick: Cleveland and Boston to go under the total of 207.0 at Bookmaker.

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