NBA Picks: Cappers Two Top Totals Bets Backed by (77-23) Angle

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, November 29, 2015 4:35 PM GMT

Our NBA handicapping professional shares his two top totals picks on Sunday’s card. Go inside to find out what those selections are, and why he’s opted for them.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets 2:05 PM ET
Milwaukee has gone 3-0 over the total in their previous three games, and those contests surpassed the number by a combined 48.5 points. Charlotte has gone under the total in each of their previous two games, and each of those contests stayed below the number by 19.5 points or more. The combination of all this data creates an extremely profitable NBA betting angle.

Any home team (Charlotte) with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off two straight games in which they went under the total by 12 points or more, versus an opponent (Milwaukee) that went over the total by a combined 30 points or more in their previous three games, resulted in those contests going 43-14 (75.4%) under the total since 1996.  That identical betting angle has also gone 9-1 (90%) under the total in the last three seasons, and 17-2 (89.5%) under during the past five NBA campaigns.

Current NBA betting odds at Heritage provides me with a best combination of number and price for this specific wager.

NBA Pick: Play on under the total of 203.0 (-105) at Heritage

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Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors 6:05 PM ET
You may be surprised to know that the up tempo Phoenix Suns have gone 38-20 (65.5%) under the total when facing non-conference opponents since 2013. The Suns aren’t a very good defensive team by any stretch. They’re allowing 105.4 points per game so far this season.

Toronto is a vastly underrated defensive team that allows just 95.1 points per game. They’ve been especially stout on that end of the floor during their past five games. During that stretch, they’ve allowed a paltry 89.0 points per game, held opponents to 41.9% shooting from the field, and four of those five contests stayed under the total. As a matter of fact, they’re 11-4 under the total in their previous fifteen games. Toronto averages 100.1 points per game on the season. The Raptors are coming off an 84-82 win at Washington on Saturday.

Any home team (Toronto) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, averaging 98.0 to 102.0 points per game, and is coming off a game in which there was a combined 175 points or less scored, versus an opponent (Phoenix) allowing 102.0 points or more per game, resulted in those contests going 34-9 (79.1%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those games was 204.8, and there were an average combined 195.8 points scored per contest. Those 43 games went under the total by 7.0 points or more an extremely high 69% of the time.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair, and one of my NBA picks today will echo that sentiment.

NBA Pick: Play on under the total of 203.5 (-101) at Pinnacle

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