NBA Picks: Bulls to Cover ATS Over Bucks in Thursday's Game 3

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, April 21, 2015 1:25 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 21, 2015 1:25 PM GMT

Our NBA consultant breaks down Game 3 of the playoff series between Chicago and Milwaukee on Thursday. Join us in reading his insightful look at this contest and the article concludes with a point-spread selection.

Bucks hope to Reenergize at Home versus Bulls
The Milwaukee Bucks will return home for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinal series versus the Chicago Bulls on Thursday at 8:05 PM ET. The Bucks find themselves down two games to none, and will hope home court advantage will be enough to get them back into the series. According to the NBA betting odds at 5Dimes, Chicago is a 3.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 187.5. Chicago has won five of their six games against Milwaukee this season, and five of those six went under the total.

 

Bulls playing Championship Caliber Basketball
The Chicago Bulls will enter Game 3 of this series having won six games in a row, and covered in five of those contests. A lot of that recent success can be traced to their stellar play defensively. The Bulls have held the last four, and five of their previous six opponents to less than 40% shooting from the floor. They’ve also allowed 91-points or less in the last four, and five of the previous six as well. Chicago has dominated Milwaukee on the boards in the first two games of this series, evidenced by a combined 135-102 rebounding advantage.

 

Bucks in need of a Spark
The Milwaukee Bucks have now gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last three games, and have lost twelve of their previous nineteen games overall. They’ve also gone an uninspiring 4-7 in their last eleven games at home. Needless to say, they surely are in need of a momentum boost if they hope to make this a competitive series.

 

NBA Betting Angle
I’m going to apply a money line betting system to this game, and it seems to make a lot of sense in light of the small point-spread. This will be an integral part of my decision when making one of my NBA picks on Thursday.

Any money line road favorite (Chicago), coming off two or more home wins in a row, and is playing during the month of April, resulted in that road favorite going 31-3 (91.8%) over the past five seasons. The road team also possessed a fairly sizable +10.0 point per game differential in those thirty-four contests. This exact scenario has arisen on eight occasions this season, and the road favorite went 7-1 in those games.

NBA Pick: Chicago -3.0 over Milwaukee at 5Dimes.

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