NBA Picks: Bucks vs. Rockets

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, February 27, 2013 3:09 PM GMT

It's been a while folks. After looking over the betting odds, we're back tonight with one NBA pick that we feel holds some good value.

Suarez Selections

Houston Rockets

Lin, Harden, Delfino, Parsons, Asik

Milwaukee Bucks

Jennings, Ellis, Ilyasova, Mbah a Moute, Sanders

Odds Line: Rockets -8, O/U: 219

It seems like books are trying to scare people off of the OVER with this high total number on the NBA odds boards, but we aren't going to budge.

The Rockets play at a ridiculous pace. They rank first in the NBA in possessions per game by a large margin. They're going to push the tempo at all times and hoist up three-pointers continuously.

Harden, Lin, Parsons and Delfino can all get hot from deep. Expect another huge game from Harden, as we don't see how either Jennings or Ellis will be able to contain the bearded one.

Houston's offensive efficiency is legit, but they've been so bad defensively that the Bucks should be able to get theirs too. The Rockets are allowing 106.6 PPG over their last five games and we don't see them locking things down anytime soon.

Milwaukee has a number of great shooters as well. J.J. Redick and Mike Dunleavy give Milwaukee two great scoring options off the bench, while Ilyasova has looked like a different player since Jim Boylan took over. Then you've got one of the most explosive backcourts in the NBA with Jennings and Ellis.

See what Jeff Grant thinks about the Nuggets visiting the Blazers?~

[gameodds]5/219631/43/us[/gameodds]

Coming in to tonight, the OVER has hit in four of the Rockets' last five home games, while it's gone 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these two teams. Milwaukee meanwhile will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back and could have trouble matching their defensive intensity from last night's win over Dallas.

The OVER has also gone 17-10 in Houston's home contests this season and we see tonight's game being another high-scoring affair for our NBA picks.

NBA Picks: OVER 219

Check out some more futured picks with our NBA Wednesday Value Plays!