NBA Picks: Bucks vs. Nets

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, February 19, 2013 1:54 PM GMT

Tuesday, Feb. 19, 2013 1:54 PM GMT

The Milwaukee Bucks haven’t covered the spread in seven games this month, but they land in a favorable spot against the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday night. Find out how we have decided to place our NBA picks in this matchup.


Let’s take a closer look at the betting odds for this Eastern Conference matchup at the Barclays Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Disastrous month

Milwaukee is 2-5 straight up and 0-7 against the spread (ATS) in February, but it did manage to snap a four-game losing streak last time out, as it came away with a 94-92 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers as six-point home favorites last Wednesday night.

The Bucks have been known to fade away during the second calendar month of a given year, considering they’ve gone 9-24-1 ATS in that situation since the 2010-11 campaign.

Momentum lost?

Brooklyn won back-to-back games against the Denver Nuggets and Indiana Pacers heading into the NBA All-Star break, with both of those victories coming without the services of starting point guard Deron Williams (ankle). He will likely return to the floor in this contest, averaging 16.7 points and 7.6 assists per game.

The Nets have failed to cover the number in both of their games this season when playing with three or more days rest, with each falling UNDER the posted total.

Domination

The NBA odds show us that the early betting action has clearly landed on the road underdogs in this spot, which isn’t very surprising, considering the Bucks have won 13 consecutive games in this series by an average of 15.3 points. It serves as the franchise’s longest current winning streak against any NBA opponent.

From a betting trend perspective, Milwaukee is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings, which includes cashing seven-straight tickets when playing on the road.

Interim coaches

Both sides have undergone a coaching change during the 2012-13 campaign, which makes this a difficult game to handicap after each side has enjoyed some time off. Milwaukee has done well in this situation historically—posting a 27-16 record in the first game after the All-Star break, including wins in four of its last five.

[gameodds]5/218847/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Bucks as one of their NBA picks against the spread Tuesday night, as they’ve gone 6-4 ATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points, while the Nets are 3-5-1 ATS when favored within that point range.

NBA Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 at 5Dimes

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