NBA Picks: Bucks vs. Mavericks

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:37 PM GMT

Tuesday, Feb. 26, 2013 4:37 PM GMT

Free NBA picks for tonight's matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Dallas Mavericks. Where do our NBA handicappers believe that the best value lies?

The Milwaukee Bucks (26-28) currently have a stronghold on the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. That said, the Bucks have lost 3 straight and are coming into American Airlines Center to play Dallas (25-30) and a rejuvenated Dirk Nowitzki.

Tip-off is scheduled for Tuesday, 8:30 pm ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

The NBA odds makers at 5Dimes Sportsbook currently lists the Mavericks as a 5.5 point betting favorite, and the total for the game is 210.5.

This is a big game for both teams. Dallas is playing better ball, winning 6 out of their last 10 games, and they are coming off of a very competitive effort against the Lakers. On the other hand, the Bucks look to recover from an Al Horford hook shot that sent them to their 3rd straight defeat.

This should be a relatively high scoring game, and the NBA odds makers have reflected this by giving this game one of the night’s highest totals. Neither team is known for their defense, but both can put the ball in the hoop.

Find out where we are placing our NBA picks in this fairly even matchup.

[gameodds]5/219516/43/us[/gameodds]

The Old Dirk is Back?

Dirk Nowitzki is getting older and ever since he’s won the NBA Championship, things haven’t been the same for him or the Mavs. Injuries have taken their toll on the big man, and trades of some of his favorite outlets have also given the star their share of problems.

One thing that is definite is Dallas owner Marc Cuban’s loyalty for the 7 foot German that delivered him a championship. Cuban has stated several times that Nowitzki is a Maverick for life. Lately Nowitzki has seemed to find his old form. He’s coming off of a 30 point, 13 rebound effort in a tough loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday.

In his last 5 games, Dirk has been the player that he used to be, averaging 21.6 points and 8.8 rebounds. He’s also shot well over 50% from the field and 90% from the free throw line. If Nowitzki can maintain this level of play, Dallas has as an outside shot at making the playoffs.

This is a team laced with veterans such as Vince Carter and Shawn Marion. Dallas isn’t a team to be underestimated, as they’re a scoring machine at 101.5 points per game, but the question is “can they keep up with the youth of players such as Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings?”

Welcome to Milwaukee!

The Milwaukee Bucks are starting to become a deeper team with the edition of shooting guard, J.J. Redick. Redick made his debut with the Bucks on Saturday, and although the Bucks lost by a point, it was a successful outing for Redick, as he posted 16 points, 7 assists, and 3 rebounds.

Milwaukee has plenty of sources of offense to keep up with Dallas, they’ll need to impose their youth on the Mavericks and forward, Larry Sanders, has become a major force for the Bucks on the defensive end.

In Your face

When Sanders had started to emerge as a force for the Bucks, but now his offensive game is starting to come together. Sanders is coming off of a huge 12 point and 19 rebound performance against Atlanta.

In his last 2 games, Sanders has put up back to back double-doubles. If he can become a consistent 10 point per game scorer, Milwaukee will move up in the Eastern Conference, as this is an underestimated team with a lot of energy and is starting to put it together.

Trends

Dallas is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss

Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games overall

Under is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings between these two teams

Over is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings

Outcome

Sometimes trends work out and other times they don’t, but in this game, I happen to agree with them. Look for a high scoring affair with two teams that can supply a lot of offense, but little defense.

Pick- Dallas/Milwaukee OVER 210.5

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