The Heat are favored on the NBA odds boards by 16.5 points for this home game against Charlotte, while the total is at 199.5.
This season Miami has mustered up a 35-33 overall ATS record, while the Bobcats have been miserable in that regard at 23-45-1 ATS.
For as bad the Bobcats have been overall, they're actually playing decent ball as of late, having won two of their last three. They've beaten Washington and Toronto at home.
Last night though they fell short by a point against Detroit, failing to cover as a rare one-point favorite in the NBA odds.
Kemba Walker had 25 points on 10-of-20 shooting in the loss, while Gerald Henderson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Bismack Biyombo and Jannero Pargo all scored in double figures as well. The Bobcats were excellent at the line (23-of-25 FG), but made only 42.7 percent of their shots from the floor.
Now Charlotte heads back on the road, where they've been an awesome team to fade with your sports picks. They're a horrendous 1-10 ATS over their last 11 road games.
Back-to-backs have been a struggle for the Bobcats too. They're 3-15 SU and 5-13 ATS in 18 games when playing on no days of rest this season. That certainly doesn't bode well up against the defending champs.
The Heat are finding a number of different ways to win games right now, in turn keeping this historic winning streak alive and kicking. They've built an insurmountable lead atop the Eastern Conference and are getting locked and loaded for another run at the championship.
On Friday Miami used another second-half surge to beat Detroit 103-89 at home. They failed to cover as 15.5-point favorites for disappointed backers though.
The usual suspect was at it again, with LeBron James going off for 29 points (12-of-15 FG), eight rebounds and eight assists in another ridiculously efficient effort. Good thing too because Dwyane Wade (19 points on 7-of-17 FG and six turnovers) and Chris Bosh (1-of-7 FG for five points) were not their usual selves.
As you would expect with such a winning run, both phases have been very succesful for Miami. They're averaging 104.2 PPG and allowing 94.4 PPG over their last five contests.
And while the Heat haven't covered in three straight, they are a much more respectable 4-3 ATS if you back to their last seven games.
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Can we really go against the Heat here? The line is huge, but Miami is on a roll and Charlotte is Charlotte.
The Heat have had to stir up some comebacks lately to keep their winning streak intact, but we see them setting the tone early on tonight. These slow starts are eventually going to come back to haunt them, so we look for Miami to have a better first half here.
So, despite the fact the Heat are 2-6 ATS over their previous eight at home, we simply cannot put our faith in the Bobcats to cover any sort of spread. We recommend a play on Miami for this NBA pick or to simply stay away.
NBA Picks: Miami Heat -16.5 at 5dimes