NBA Picks: Blazers vs. Spurs Game 1

Monday, May 5, 2014 8:41 PM UTC

Monday, May. 5, 2014 8:41 PM UTC

This could be the most interesting of all four series left in the NBA playoffs, as the mysterious and powerful Blazers meet the unwavering force that is the Spurs. The NBA Odds have San Antonio as solid favorites in Game 1, but will they cover?
<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!-- td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --></style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;font-weight:bold;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe frameborder="0" src="/video/embed/?videoId=20035" height="330" width="560"></iframe></span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">Old vs. New Guard<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Could this series start a changing of the guard in the Western Conference that no one saw coming? I think it could, and even though I am not sold on the <a target="_blank" title="Read our preview and winning NBA pick for series Spurs vs. Blazers" href="/picks/nba/nba-picks-blazers-vs-spurs-playoff-series-price/39312/">Spurs in this game or this series</a>, the NBA Odds have them as solid favorites in both. San Antonio is a -6 ½ home favorite against Portland in Game 1 Tuesday night, with a total of 205 ½. Even though I do think the Blazers could have some value as dogs ATS, the better and probably safer <a href="/picks/nba/" title="View our full 2014 NBA Playoff previews and picks" target="_blank">NBA pick</a> on Game 1 is the total of 205 ½.</span></p> <p>During their regular season series against one another, <a target="_blank" title="Full matchup stats and betting trends" href="/nba-basketball/matchups/20140506-708/">these two teams split both SU, ATS, and in the total</a>. However, the Blazers were not a complete team for at least one of their meetings with the Spurs due to LaMarcus Aldridge’s injury, and during that time, the Blazers kind of fell out of relevancy.</p> <p>However, this team is playing like the team that beat San Antonio two straight to start the regular season series, and if they can hold down the Spurs enough to steal one of the next two games, this team could have a ton of series value.</p> <p>Alas we are talking about Tuesday night, and even though I am very tempted (nor would I fault anyone) to <a target="_blank" title="Read why other bettors are taking the Blazers" href="">take points with the Blazers at +6 ½</a>, the total of 205 ½ is way too low for these two teams. I don’t think either are a great matchup for one another, and especially early in the series, I think that will lead to some higher scores.</p> <p>The Blazers have not been known as a defensive team this season, especially when playing on the road. Even though the regular season total series split, I think one or both of these first two games in San Antonio will go 'over'.</p> <p>[gameodds]5/286079/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]</p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">The Sharp Pick<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">The 'over' has now cashed in five of the last six games for the <a target="_blank" title="Took that over as a pick. Read back on it here." href="/picks/nba/nba-picks-mavericks-vs-spurs-game-2/39016/">Spurs dating back to Game 2 against Dallas</a>, while the Blazers have also been on an 'over' cashing streak, going 'over' in seven of their last nine dating back to the regular season.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em"> </span><span style="font-size:1em">Even though both games in San Antonio went 'under' the total, I think that could be one of the reasons why this total of 205 ½ is so low. The <a target="_blank" title="Our series prediction for round one Mavericks vs. Spurs" href="/picks/nba/nba-picks-mavericks-vs-spurs-series-price/38956/">Spurs should be a little bit tired coming off of their grueling first round series</a>, and I think the Blazers might be able to exploit that on the road. Portland is good on offense in the exact areas that San Antonio is, and if they can wear down the Spurs’ stars, it might go a long way for them.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">But the wearing down is going to be mutual for this series. Whoever has the most stamina and big shot making will win this series, and it’s going to start with a big scoring effort from both clubs in Game 1. Take the 'over'.</span></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">My NBA Pick: </b><span style="font-size:1em">'over' 205 ½ </span></p>
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