The Miami Heat Can
They’re younger, and more athletic. That’s a huge edge. Last year’s series went down to the wire, but the Spurs are now a year older, and their age is starting to show. Tim Duncan is in the twilight of his career, and Tony Parker isn’t entirely healthy. He wasn’t even able to finish Game 6 of the Western Conference final. Until we know that Parker is healthy, there is no betting the Spurs.
As for the Heat, this year’s version could be better. Dwayne Wade looks fresh and rested, Chris Bosh has stepped up and LeBron James is playing out of his mind. The Spurs are a machine, but the Heat have the better stars. That should be the difference as early as Game 1.
The San Antonio Spurs Can Win Because…
This is revenge. The Spurs not only wanted to get back to this point, but they wanted to face the Heat in the finals. There is no question that they are going to want this more than the Heat, starting with Game 1. The Spurs can’t afford to cough up a hairball in Game 1, and give up home court advantage right off the hop. Look for a very concentrated effort from them. Although Parker won’t be 100%, a few days off in between series should be just what the doctor ordered for him.
Outlook & Pick
Parker should be back, but I don’t have a lot of faith in this Spurs team – contrary to public opinion. Yes, they’re the favorites, and yes, they want revenge. However, the Heat are younger, faster and more athletic. Duncan can be contained, Parker is banged up and Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green aren’t starring like they did in the finals last year. Unless a number of those things change in Game 1, I expect the Heat to either win or lose by a very small margin. Take the Heat on the spread with your NBA picks.
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