NBA Picks: Bet Spurs +4 vs. Heat in Game 1 of NBA Finals

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, June 5, 2013 6:27 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 5, 2013 6:27 PM GMT

The San Antonio Spurs haven’t played since May 27, as they prepare to open up a best-of-seven series against the Miami Heat Thursday night. 

Let’s take a closer look at the betting odds for Game 1 of the 2013 NBA Finals at AmericanAirlines Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Take a look at our picks & predictions for the NBA Finals series price.

A waiting game

San Antonio swept the Memphis Grizzlies in the Western Conference finals, which included a 93-86 victory as 2.5-point road underdogs in Game 4 on May 27, while going UNDER the betting total of 182.

The Spurs are 8-1 straight up (SU) and 6-3 against the spread (ATS) when playing with three or more days rest, with the UNDER going 6-3 in that situation.

Survive and advance 

Miami was pushed to the brink of elimination in the Eastern Conference finals, but ultimately came away with a convincing 99-76 victory over the Indiana Pacers as seven-point home favorites in Game 7 Monday, while going UNDER the total for a third consecutive contest. 

The Heat are 12-4 SU and 9-7 ATS during the 2013 NBA playoffs at this point, with the UNDER going 8-7-1 in those 16 opportunities.

Duncan, Parker and Ginobili 

Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili are the first trio on a team other than Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers to reach the NBA Finals four times together.

Duncan and Parker have been the team’s main catalysts offensively, as they’ve combined to average 40.8 points per game, while Ginobili continues to serve as the first man off the bench. 

The King 

NBA handicappers are going to have a hard time picking against four-time NBA MVP LeBron James in this best-of-seven series, as he’s averaging 26.2 points, 7.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists in the postseason.

He tallied his 58th 30-point playoff game last time out—the second-most among active NBA players.

[gameodds]5/238003/43/us[/gameodds] 

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spurs as their NBA Picks Thursday, as they’ve gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus teams with a winning home record, while the Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five contests following a SU win. 

NBA Pick:  San Antonio Spurs +5.5 at Bet365

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