NBA Picks: Bet Over 217 for Lakers vs. Bucks

Steven Suarez

Thursday, March 27, 2014 2:09 PM GMT

The Bucks and Lakers, a combined 67 games under .500, square off in Milwaukee tonight and we've come up with our favorite NBA pick. It's been a truly horrific season for both of these teams, but who gets the win here?

Odds Overview
It's a rare favorite spot for the Bucks, who are favored by 1.5 points on their home floor. On the season Milwaukee is 13-58 SU and 32-39 ATS, with Los Angeles at 24-47 straight up and 36-33-1 against the spread.

If you're wanting to make a play on the game's total, you can find the O/U trading at either 217 or 217.5. Keep checking back with SBRodds.com to follow the live line movement leading up to tipoff.

[gameodds]5/260139/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Los Angeles Lakers
In this mess of a season, any wins at this point are a plus for the hapless Lakers. They'll come into tonight's game having won back-to-back contests.

After beating Orlando by nine, Los Angeles kept it up by humiliating the Knicks 127-96 two days later. The Lakers were 7.5-point underdogs ahead of tipoff, but used huge second and third quarters to destroy Carmelo Anthony and company.

Shooting 57.8 percent overall and 64.3 percent (18-of-28) from three, Los Angeles caught fire in the second quarter and never looked back.

The bench did most of the damage for the Lakers. Xavier Henry and Nick Young combined for 42 points on 14-of-21 shooting and hit eight threes between them, while Kent Bazemore added 18 points and five assists in the lopsided victory. Chris Kaman and Jodie Meeks were the only starters to hit double figures in scoring.

Looking ahead, injuries remain an issue for Mike D'Antoni's team. Big man Pau Gasol (vertigo) has already been ruled out for tonight, meaning Kaman is likely to start again. Steve Nash (back) remains doubtful, while Jordan Farmar (groin) is set to be out until at least early April. Kobe Bryant, as you know, is done for the season.

 

Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks have suffered through a disastrous season, with the only consolation being they'll receive a lottery pick in what's going to be a loaded draft.

Entering tonight, Milwaukee has dropped eight straight games, though they've managed to cover the spread in five of those defeats. They've been off since Monday's 98-106 road loss to the Clippers, a game in which they were 16.5-point underdogs.

Many weren't expecting the Bucks to put up such a legitimate fight against a top team like Los Angeles, but Ramon Sessions had other plans. He was outstanding in the loss, scoring 28 points to go along with seven assists and six rebounds in just over 44 minutes of action. Zaza Pachulia chipped in with a 14/8/6 line.

Now the Bucks return home, where they've gone 8-27 SU and 14-21 ATS this season.

With regards to Milwaukee's injury report, Ersan Ilyasova (ankle) is probable, while Larry Sanders (eye), Nate Wolters (hand) and Carlos Delfino are out long-term.

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NBA Pick
The Bucks took home the win in this season's only encounter with the Lakers so far. They won in comfortable fashion as well (94-79) as six-point underdogs on the NBA betting boards.

Will Los Angeles come out and get some retribution on Milwaukee's home court tonight?

Maybe, maybe not. We're not going anywhere near the spread for this game. We're focusing on the OVER, as both teams have been putrid defensively – the Bucks have surrendered 113.2 PPG over their last five and the Lakers are at 110.2 PPG in that same span. Let's look for little to no defense once again and go with the OVER for our NBA picks.

NBA Pick: OVER 217