NBA Picks: Bet Heat -1.5 vs. Spurs in Game 5

Joe Catalano

Friday, June 14, 2013 2:35 PM GMT

Tip-off for game 5 is set for Sunday at 8:00 pm ET at the AT &T Center in San Antonio, Texas and can be seen on ABC TV. Can the Spurs take one back or are these NBA odds set too tight?


The boxscore had Lebron James as the Heat’s leading scorer in a much needed 109-93 victory over the San Antonio Spurs that tied up the series at 2-2, but Dwayne Wade was the star of this game and showed why he’s one of the 3 or 4 top two guards in NBA history.

Aside from James’ last second meaningless 3 pointer, this was the D.Wade show as Wade played like a player with no injuries. He poured in 32 points, 6 steals, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists as Miami won the biggest game in the series and are assured of a trip back to South Beach.

Odds makers have noticed the momentum that the Heat have picked up and the Heat are a 1.5 point betting odds favorite on the road and the total for the game is 187.5 according to Bet 365 Sportsbook.

Now, the pressure is on San Antonio. They don’t want to go to South Beach down 3-2 or the series is virtually over. Do the Spurs have anything left in the tank or in the Duncan-Popovich regime, if you will?

The Big 3 Is Back!

The Heat proved why acquiring Lebron James and Chris Bosh were the right decisions as this team is just 2 games away from a 2nd title as a group. The obvious difference in game 4 was the play of Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh.

Both players had been a disaster up until this game and even Lebron James hadn’t hit the 20 point plateau, but that all changed in game 4 as D. Wade took over.

Wade played like a man possessed on the offensive and defensive sides of the ball; his 6 steals can attest to that. Wade also got Chris Bosh involved with precision passing and Bosh started to gain some confidence, hitting his little 10 foot jumpers which equated to 20 points and 13 rebounds for the big man.

Wade on the other hand, finally got his offensive game together and couldn’t be denied. He played like he did when he won the 2006 NBA Championship with Shaquille O’Neal. For the game. Wade was 14 of 25 from the field and would find LBJ in the paint and feed him the ball for the easy 2 points on a regular basis.

This is just what Miami needed. All 3 stars scored over 20 points and Lebron James didn’t have to have the burden of shouldering the load. If Wade plays anywhere near this in game 5, San Antonio will fall like a ton of bricks.

Green and Neal are Key

After game 3, I predicted Miami to win and stated that Danny Green and Gary Neal couldn’t possibly have back to back superstar-like performances and I was right.

In order for San Antonio to have a chance, at least one of these players needs a repeat performance of game 3 in which they were hitting 3 pointers at will.

The Internationals Are “Out of the Country”

During the regular season, Tiago Splitter was a major contributor to the Spurs offense with his soft touch around the basket. This is a bad matchup for Splitter as he’s simply to slow and it’s killing the Spurs.

Manu Ginobili on the other hand, has the speed and talent, but he’s getting older as we speak and very frustrated with the calls that aren’t going his way. If San Antonio can’t get Ginobili to contribute, they’re in huge trouble. The combination of Splitter and Ginobili had just 9 points on 1 of 8 shooting from the field combined. If they play like this again in game 5, San Antonio is done.

Outcome

Miami was too good in game 4. I expect the Spurs to be more competitive, but Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh’s confidence are at an all-time high. I see no reason for them to regress. For your NBA picks, take Miami to take this series back to South Beach up 3-2 looking to add another ring to their fingers.

Pick- Miami -1.5 at Bet 365

[gameodds]5/238035/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]