I think I have found some value here tonight on a short card, so let’s see if you agree that my two NBA Picks are worth adding to your betting card tonight.
Boston lost last night in Detroit and now has to head down to Beale Street in Memphis to play the Grizzlies. The NBA odds for this one have Memphis as huge -11 ½ home favorites, with a total of 187. Back to backs aren’t going to mean much early in the season, and with the Celtics being a young team, I don’t think playing in the late afternoon yesterday is going to affect them too much here tonight.
However the sportsbooks seem to think it will, and even though the Celtics have played slightly better than expect this season, they are double-digit underdogs here. Memphis has won only one out of three so far this season and they are giving up over 106 points per game to start the season. This is far from the team we saw giving up under 90 points per game last season, and if that’s the case, I think Memphis is in danger of not covering here.
Despite being winless, the Boston Celtics have played pretty solid defense so far this season, and while I sincerely doubt it comes SU tonight, I think Boston can get the cover here. The Grizzlies lack three-point shooting, which means they will likely be playing close games, and -11 ½ is too much for Memphis.
My Pick: Celtics +11 ½
Wolves vs. Cavs
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been playing some improved defense under Mike Brown, but they haven’t been able to score much either unfortunately. This is a trait that has cursed Brown’s teams before, but against the fast paced Wolves tonight, I think Cleveland is going to have to pick up their scoring to keep up.
The Wolves played a nice game against the Knicks last night, winning both SU and ATS. They dropped 109 points on the Knicks, and I think they can do some similar damage to the Cavs. Cleveland has played three defensive oriented teams so far this season in Brooklyn, Charlotte and Indiana, and their offense is better than it’s showing. They may be able to play some defense in this game, but their opponent likely won’t
The Wolves weren’t great defensively last season, and so far have given up almost 99 points per game this season. If the Wolves are lazy on defense off of the travel night, the Cavs and Kyrie Irving will be able to take advantage. The real wild card is Andrew Bynum. If he can help out in spurts on the offensive end, the Cavs have a lot more upside than their 85 points per game mark says about them so far. I am going with the over in this game, as it has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last five games on the road.
My Pick: ‘Over’ 195 ½