NBA Picks: Back Spurs To Rack Up Points On The Road vs. Warriors

Charles Stark

Thursday, April 7, 2016 2:48 PM GMT

Warriors will try to get on track again against another best team in the league, the Spurs. Will they beat the Warriors for the second time in a row? What are the NBA odds?

Odds makers have come out making Golden State a -5 favorite like at Bet Online -110. For one of my NBA picks I'm going to grab the points with the San Antonio Spurs and look for them to capitalize on the Warriors recent minor downswing. This game has all the makings of one that will go down to the wire.

 

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio ranks first in the NBA in defensive scoring, opponent two and three point shooting percentage, and opponent effective field-goal percentage and shooting efficiency. Those are some serious statistics for a team that is arguably the best defensive team of all time and definitely the best defensive team we have seen in the league over the past several years.

They seem to have had the right formula the last time they played Golden State and they were really physical with the Warriors from the opening tip. Most likely they will have trouble repeating that same performance on the road against a Golden State team that is the best offensive team in the league and the best offensive team we've seen the past several years. Last time out they held Golden State to just 38% from the field and an unbelievable 25% from distance.

Tonight Golden State will probably shoot much better but San Antonio has been very efficient this year offensively ranking second and third in the NBA and effective field-goal percentage and shooting efficiency. If they can control the tempo like they did last time they will have a shot to pull the upset.

Golden State Warriors
Golden State averages 115.3 points per game which ranks first in the NBA and they rank first in every major offensive category from overall to three-point shooting percentage. This is such a great matchup for them because San Antonio is the antithesis of what Golden State does on the floor. It is understandable that they will bounce back from that shocking overtime loss the other night to Minnesota but I think the points are bit too much against a very good San Antonio team.

Last time out against the Spurs they really got bogged down only putting up 82 attempts from the floor which is well below their 87.5 average and only 25 attempts from distance which is also well below their 31.5 per game average. San Antonio was able to impose their will against Golden State last time by controlling the pace and tempo because the Spurs actually didn't shoot the ball that well either at just 41% overall.

The Warriors will probably try to get up-tempo against San Antonio but I think scheme wise the Spurs will have a good game plan against Golden State. Beating the warriors in NBA odds boards at home has been an impossible task up until the last week and although I think San Antonio will be hard-pressed to hand the Warriors a third home loss I do think they stay within the number.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2883637, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick: San Antonio Spur +7 (-103)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle