NBA Picks: Back Spurs -10.5 In Low-Scoring Game Against Pistons

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, March 2, 2016 12:17 AM GMT

One of the most grueling road trips for any team this NBA season is over for the San Antonio Spurs and they begin the home-heavy remaining portion of their schedule Wednesday vs. Detroit. The Spurs are -10 on Heritage's NBA odds with a total of 201 points.

Pistons Are Trending Up
Detroit (32-29) was one of the busier teams ahead of the NBA trade deadline, landing forward Tobias Harris from Orlando for forward Ersan Ilyasova and guard Brandon Jennings. The team also got forward Donatas Motiejunas and guard Marcus Thornton from Houston in a three-team deal but that trade was voided because Motiejunas failed a physical. That means the Pistons got their 2016 first-round draft pick back and many thought they overpaid by sending that away. The Harris deal looks very good as in six games with Detroit, he's averaging 17.0 points and 5.5 rebounds.

The Pistons enter this matchup on a four-game winning streak. Two of those wins were quite impressive: 96-88 at Eastern Conference-leading Cleveland on Feb. 22 and 114-101 over East No. 2 Toronto on Sunday in Detroit. The Pistons caught a break there as the Raptors chose to sit All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry simply for rest. Detroit point guard Reggie Jackson took advantage with 19 points and eight assists. Andre Drummond had 15 points and 18 rebounds. He leads the NBA with 51 double-doubles and in rebounding at 15.0 per game. Detroit is 27-11 when outrebounding its opponent. We will have to see if the Spurs resort to hacking Drummond if this game is close as Drummond is shooting just 35.9 percent from the free throw line. That's ridiculous, frankly.

Coach Stan Van Gundy remains without two reserve forwards in Anthony Tolliver and rookie Stanley Johnson. Tolliver is likely still a couple of weeks away with a knee injury. Johnson is closer with a shoulder problem but not expected to play Wednesday. The No. 8 overall pick out of Arizona has a bright future. He's averaging 9.0 points and 4.2 rebounds per game.

For the season the Pistons are 31-28-1 against the spread on NBA odds and 31-29 'over/under.'

 

Spurs' First Home Game In Nearly A Month
Every year San Antonio is booted from its AT&T Center for a few weeks because of the San Antonio Stock Show & Rodeo. So every year the team goes on a long "Rodeo Road Trip." The Spurs (50-9) finished this year's version at a hugely impressive 7-1 -- only loss at the L.A. Clippers -- following a 104-94 victory in Houston on Saturday. Kawhi Leonard had 27 points and LaMarcus Aldridge added 26. Tim Duncan moved past Hall of Famer Karl Malone for sixth in NBA history in career rebounds and became the fifth player ever with 3,000 career blocks.

The 7-1 Rodeo Road Trip record was surpassed only by the 2003 and 2012 teams that went 8-1. The Spurs have extended their NBA record by winning 50 games for a 17th straight season. Yes, they even won 50 in the 66-game lockout season in 2011-12.

This is the Spurs' first home game since Feb. 6; they are 28-0 there this season. San Antonio remains without sixth man Manu Ginobili due to testicular surgery. He might return late next week. The team has signed veteran  point guard Andre Miller for the rest of the season after he was waived by Minnesota.  The addition of Miller gives the Spurs the two oldest active players in the NBA. Miller turns 40 on March 19, followed by Duncan on April 25. The Spurs also are reportedly interested in Timberwolves shooting guard Kevin Martin if he agrees to a buyout with the Wolves.

San Antonio is 37-22 ATS on NBA picks this season and 27-30-2 O/U.

 

First Meeting
On Jan. 12, San Antonio was a 6.5-point favorite at sportsbooks (total of 196) when it visited Detroit and the Spurs won 109-99. The Pistons led by one point after a quarter but were outscored 57-41 over the middle two quarters as San Antonio took control. It was the Spurs' ninth straight win at the time. Tony Parker scored a season-high 31 points and Aldridge had 22 points and 13 rebounds. Ginobili had 15 points and Duncan 14 points and nine rebounds. Leonard was quiet with seven points. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope led Detroit with 25 points, Drummond had 17 points and 10 rebounds, and Jackson 10 points and 11 assists. San Antonio has won two straight overall in the series but both were on the road. The Spurs lost to the Pistons at home last season.

Give the  points, go 'under' the total. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their past five against the Western Conference. The Spurs are 12-5 ATS in their past 17 at home. The 'under' is 4-1 in Detroit's past five road games. The 'under' is 5-2 in San Antonio's past seven overall. 

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NBA Pick: Spurs -10.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage