NBA Picks: Back Brooklyn +10 to Hang Tough With Cleveland

Jason Lake

Saturday, November 28, 2015 6:59 PM GMT

The Cleveland Cavaliers may be winning basketball games, but they're sure having trouble beating the NBA odds. Maybe the Brooklyn Nets can help them on Saturday.

Jason's 2015-16 record as of Nov. 27: 4-8 ATS, 1-0 Total

 

They don't have Kyrie Irving. They don't have Iman Shumpert. But the Cleveland Cavaliers still carry the burden of high expectations, and it's killing them at the pay window. The Cavaliers are 12-4 SU and 7-9 ATS after the opening month of the regular season; when laying at least 10 points, the Cavs are 4-0 SU and 1-3 ATS.

Well, looky here: Cleveland is a 10-point home fave on the NBA odds for Saturday's game (7:30 p.m. ET, YES) against the Brooklyn Nets. Anyone feel like betting on the Nets? They are technically in the black this year at 3-12 SU and 8-7 ATS. They did cover on Halloween versus the Memphis Grizzlies (–12 at home), sadly for us. Brooklyn is 1-4 SU and 4-1 ATS as a double-digit dog. Any takers yet?

 

Nets and Chill
Perhaps you need some more reasons to put Brooklyn in your NBA picks this weekend. We understand completely. Here's one: The Nets have been idle since Wednesday, when they got paid in a 110-99 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder (–12 at home). The Cavaliers played a physical game on Friday versus the Charlotte Hornets (+4 at home), who took them to the wire before losing 95-90.

There's only so much the Cavs can do without their starting backcourt. Irving is an All-Star, and Shumpert is one of the better defenders out there; going into Friday's game, Cleveland ranked No. 16 in the league in defensive efficiency at 101.2 points allowed per 100 possessions. To be fair, the Cavaliers did get Timofey Mozgov and Matthew Dellavedova back in the lineup against Charlotte, and they managed to go UNDER the 203-point total to snap a six-game OVER streak. Oh, and they've covered four of their past five games. Hmmmm...

 

Movin' On Up
So what's going “right” for the Nets this year? They certainly have to be pleased with Thaddeus Young (20.1 PER, +1.2 BPM) and how well he's played next to Brook Lopez (21.6 PER, +0.2 BPM). They're even getting some good big-man minutes off the bench from Thomas Robinson (15.3 PER, –3.6 BPM), at least at the defensive end. Robinson has shown flashes of promise before.

Let's also give credit to guards Jarrett Jack (16.2 PER, –0.8 BPM) and Shane Larkin (16.8 PER, +0.4 BPM), who are playing at around a league-average level when morons like myself were predicting doom and gloom. But the key to Brooklyn's profitability may be rookie Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (14.5 PER, +1.8 BPM) and his elevation to the starting lineup at shooting guard. Since the move was made, the Nets are 3-7 SU and 7-3 ATS. Maybe the trade that sent Mason Plumlee to the Portland Trail Blazers won't look so bad once all the dust has settled.

NBA Pick: Nets +10 at Pinnacle

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