The NBA Odds have the Sixers as huge +10 ½ underdogs tonight, with a total of 207. There is a big looming question over the Sixers, and it will certainly affect trying to bet this spread.
Rookie of the year candidate Michael Carter-Williams missed the Sixers previous game with a shoulder injury, however it sounds more like just rest and maintenance for a guy really starting to hit the rookie wall. The Sixers were on the second night of a back to back, and while they are going nowhere, they are taking the safe approach with MCW, treating him as you would any young pitcher or running back in other sports.
However after two full days off for MCW, I will take a guess that he plays tonight. This is a divisional game and even though the Sixers have no stake in the playoffs this season even in the East, Carter-Williams’ status tonight could still mean the difference in the spread. Make sure you confirm his status before making any NBA picks on either the spread or total.
The questionable status of Carter-Williams is why I am laying off the spread and siding with a wager on the total instead. The Sixers are a goldmine for other teams, and with the Nets slowly climbing the ladder in the East, they will look at this as an easy win. This could limit their defense tonight, however their offense should not even be in question tonight at home against Philadelphia.
The Sharp Pick
The Sixers and Nets have played twice so far this season, and both times the Nets dominated. The Nets have scored an average of 125 points per game in those two against Philly, and with the Sixers giving up around 110 points per game this season, you have to think the Nets have a floor of anywhere between 110-115 tonight. That would mean that the Sixers might not even have to touch 100 points, but if the game is over quickly, a blowout might help our cause even more.
Brooklyn finished the month of January at 10-4 SU, and even though they are on a mini-losing streak right now heading into February, this is the perfect turn around game for them. The Nets have cashed the over in five of their last six games overall, and they have two full days off between tonight and their next game on Thursday, so there should be no reason to think that they won’t have a great game tonight.
In their last four games this season, the Sixers have given up an average of 114 points per game, and on the road it might get even worse. Four of the last five times these two teams have met the total has gone over, and four of the last six times they played in Brooklyn the total has gone over. Look for the wing players of the Nets to all have great games, and if MCW plays or not, look for the over to be the play.My Pick: OVER 207