NBA Prop Asks Whether Wizards Trade John Wall And/Or Bradley Beal

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, November 20, 2018 4:45 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 20, 2018 4:45 PM UTC

The Washington Wizards are a complete mess this season and now there are rumors that All-Star guards John Wall and Bradley Beal are available in trade. MyBookie offers a prop on whether they are dealt.

Before this season began, Washington Wizards All-Star point guard John Wall said he believed his team could win the Eastern Conference now that LeBron James was out west with the Los Angeles Lakers. I’m not sure where Wall got that from since Washington was just 43-39 last year and lost in the first round of the playoffs to the Toronto Raptors. This is a snake-bitten franchise that hasn’t even made the conference finals since losing the NBA Finals in 1979 to Seattle as defending NBA champions.

No team in the East has disappointed more this season than the Wizards, and now there are multiple reports of major discord in the locker room – Wall was recently fined for cursing out Coach Scott Brooks -- and that ownership/management is ready to blow everything up and start over. That means Wall and his All-Star backcourt mate, Bradley Beal, theoretically are available for the first time.

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All the Washington Wizards beefs that we know (so far)

Bradley Beal vs. Austin Rivers
John Wall vs. Scott Brooks
John Wall vs. Jeff Green
Kelly Oubre vs. Scott Brooks
Bradley Beal vs. Ernie Grunfeld pic.twitter.com/BEokU1a9Nn

— SB Nation (@SBNation) November 20, 2018
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Let’s just say right now that Wall’s not going anywhere because no one would take his contract. Good player, but he’s already had a few knee issues and his game is built entirely on speed and explosiveness. Last July, Wall signed a four-year, $170 million supermax extension with the team and none of that has kicked in yet. He’ll get $37.8 million in the 2019-20 season, $40.8M the next year, $43.8M the next and, at 33 in 2022-23, a whopping $46.8 million. Oh, and he has a 15 percent trade kicker. Based on the current estimate for his salary, only three players -- Stephen Curry, Chris Paul and Russell Westbrook -- will make more than Wall in 2019-20.

While there are great point guards all over the league, that’s not true of All-Star-caliber shooting guards like Beal, who is just 25. He would bring back major value as he’s signed through the 2020-21 season at a fairly reasonable amount. Beal is making $25.4M this year, then around $27M and then $28.7M. Some NBA executives think Beal could generate a bigger return on the trade market than recent deals involving Blake Griffin and Kawhi Leonard.

Because of those two monster deals as well as big ones to Otto Porter and Ian Mahinmi, Washington is already over the salary cap for the 2019-20 season. The team still hopes to find a third star to play with Wall and Beal, but good luck with that. The Wizards don’t have much else that other teams want; Porter has really regressed since getting his extension. Kelly Oubre might get a few bites but wouldn’t bring back a star.

MyBookie has a prop on either Wall or Beal getting traded by New Year’s Day (the trade deadline is 3 p.m. ET on Feb. 7):

  • Wall is traded by Jan. 1: -120
  • Wall not traded by Jan. 1: -120
  • Beal is traded by Jan. 1: -120
  • Beal not traded by Jan. 1: -120
  • Both traded same day: +250
  • Both not traded same day: -400

As I noted above, no one is going to want Wall. Beal, though, would be a terrific fit with the Pelicans and Lakers in particular. New Orleans needs a third star to go with Jrue Holiday and Anthony Davis. The Lakers have a gaping hole at shooting guard and a huge need for 3-point shooting. They also have some interesting young pieces the Wizards might want, but don’t really have the salaries to matchup so L.A. would have to get a third team involved.

I can see Beal being shipped out, but not by New Year’s Day.

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