NBA Pick: Underdog Value Play Tuesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, December 31, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

Each day LT Profits Sports seeks an overlay underdog that has a better chance of cashing than its odds, offering long term value. Here is their Underdog Value Play for Tuesday.

The double-digit underdog looks dangerous Tuesday night after nearly upsetting the two NBA Final participants in the last two games as those Sacramento Kings (9-20, 3-9 away) now pay a visit to the Houston Rockets (21-12, 13-4 home) at the Toyota Center in Houston, TX at 7:05 ET.

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Sacramento as a big underdog for this contest with the current line at +10 with odds of -114.

The Kings have shown some improvement since acquiring Rudy Gay from the Memphis Grizzles and they should be battle tested for this contest after almost upsetting the two participants in the NBA Finals last season over their last two games. Gay is averaging 19.3 points in a Sacramento uniform, lending nice support to team scoring leader DeMarcus Cousins (22.9).

The Rockets were one of the favorites to win the Western Conference before the season after signing Dwight Howard, and they have been good but not as dominant as expected with Howard having a rather uneven season, and now he is battling the chronic back problems that have plagued him throughout his career.

The Kings may be just 9-20, but that did not stop them from rallying from a 17-point deficit before upsetting the defending NBA Champion Miami Heat 108-103 in overtime on Friday. They then followed up that effort by going on the road and leading much of the game vs. the San Antonio Spurs Sunday before falling 112-104 while still covering the spread as 12-point underdogs.

And you do not need to tell the Rockets about just how tough the Kings could be as Sacramento routed Houston 106-91 back on the west coast on December 15th, with Gay and Cousins combining to score 47 points and Isaiah Thomas adding another 19.

The Rockets have been a bit inconsistent, but they had appeared to turn the corner with three straight wins until they ran into Kevin Durant and the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Sunday, where they were annihilated 117-86 with Howard scoring only nine points while dealing with his back issues.

Granted the Rockets sat their starters in the fourth quarter of that blowout so they should be well rested, but Howard is still not at 100 percent and dealing with another physical specimen in the middle like Cousins could be a tall order.

Yes, the Rockets figure to give an improved performance compared to what they did in Oklahoma City, where Chandler Parson was the only starter to reach double-digits with 15 points, but the Kings do not figure to go away quietly and appear to be offering good long-term value catching this many points on New Year’s Eve night Tuesday.

[gameodds]5/251766/?r-1=238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Kings +10 (-114)

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