NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, February 19, 2014 5:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2014 5:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

It could be a high-scoring game with both teams reaching the triple-digits Wednesday night when the Orlando Magic (16-39, 3-24 away) pay a visit to the Cleveland Cavaliers (21-33, 13-13 home) at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, OH at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 198½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -103.

The Cavaliers continued their suddenly discovered recent scoring prowess in their first game back from the All-Star Break Tuesday in a 114-85 road win over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Cavaliers were without center Anderson Varejao for the third straight game as he nurses a back issue, but Tyler Zeller stepped up in his stead with 18 points and 15 rebounds.

The Magic were also involved in a fairly high scoring game coming out of the break last night, but the end result was not a good one as they lost on the road 104-100 to the team with the worst record in the NBA in the Milwaukee Bucks. What made that loss especially disappointing was that Orlando had posted wins over the top seeds in each conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers, right before the break.

The Cavaliers were playing some of the worst basketball in the NBA as recently as two weeks ago when they seemingly flipped a switch out of the blue and have now won five straight games to suddenly get back into playoff contention. That’s right, Cleveland’s 21-33 record has it in 10th place and just three games out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the weak Eastern Conference.

And this recent hot spell has been fueled by a hot Cleveland offense that is averaging 105.3 points per game over the last seven contests while scoring at least 107 points in five of those seven games. The Cavaliers have five players averaging double-digits if you include Luol Deng, who has averaged 14.6 points in 18 games since being acquired from the Chicago Bulls, and they are naturally led by All-Star Game MVP Kyrie Irving and his 21.3 points per game.

Add in the recent emergence of Zeller and the improvement of first overall draft pick Anthony Bennett, who had 10 points last night to reach double-figures for the fourth time in seven games while also adding 11 rebounds for his second double-double in three games, and Cleveland suddenly looks to have a formidable offense. The defense however is still ranked 20th in the NBA in points allowed at 101.7 points per game, so look for more shootouts in the near future.

The Magic has now lost two consecutive games since winning those back-to-back games over the Thunder and Pacers, but even in defeat, Orlando continued to shoot the ball well by hitting 50.0 percent of its shots (40-for-80) in Milwaukee last night. Yes, the Magic remain 24th in the NBA in scoring at 96.1 points per game and 21st in field goal percentage at 44.2 percent, but they have raised those figures to 97.8 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting the last five games.

Unfortunately the Orlando defense is allowing 101.4 points per game overall for the season, a figure that climbs full point to 102.4 points on the road, and that is a contributing factor to the Magic’s league-worst 3-24 road mark.

Look for the ‘over’ patterns for both of these teams to continue for at least one more game on Wednesday.


NBA Pick: Magic, Cavaliers ‘over’ 198½ (-103)

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