NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, February 5, 2014 5:00 AM GMT

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

There could be an instant replay Wednesday of the low-scoring game the teams involved had the first and only time they met so far this season when the San Antonio Spurs (35-13, 17-5 away) pay a visit to the Washington Wizards (24-23, 12-11 home) at the Verizon Center in Washington, DC at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 194½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +102.

Much has been made of the fact that the Wizards went over the .500 mark for the first time in over four years with a 100-90 win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday, their second straight game that Washing has beaten a Western power after beating Oklahoma City 96-81 on Saturday. Head Coach Randy Wittman downplayed the accomplishment after the game, no doubt because he did not want the Wizards to no feel a sense of contentment.

Washington has a real chance to make the playoffs in the weak Eastern Conference this season, but the first step is attempting to get past a third straight Western Conference powerhouse tonight in the Spurs, and if Washington pulls this off, it will have beaten the current top three seeds in the West in consecutive games.

A key to the Washington resurgence has been improved defense, as only the Los Angeles Clippers have been able to score more than 90 points against the Wizards over the last four games, and the three offenses that Washington shut down in this stretch are three of the best offenses in the NBA in Portland, Oklahoma City and Golden State as the Wizards are getting acclimated to facing teams from the West.

This now has Washington up to 10th in the NBA in points against for the season at 98.8 per game, and it has dropped that average to 94.0 points while permitting just 43.8 percent shooting over the last five games.

The Wizards lost the first meeting with the Spurs this season but the defense was not to blame in a low scoring 92-79 defeat at San Antonio. That marked the second straight low-scoring head-to-head between these teams after the Spurs won the previous meeting last season 96-86.

The Spurs began their annual Rodeo Trip Monday and needed to rally from a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter to get by the outmanned New Orleans Pelicans 102-95. That was the Spurs’ second straight win following a three-game losing streak, but neither win was particularly impressive following a non-covering 95-93 escape vs. Sacramento in the last San Antonio home game for quite a while this past Saturday.

The Spurs are averaging 103.7 points for the season while ranking second in the NBA in field goal percentage at 49.1 percent, but they are only averaging 94.8 points on 46.8 percent shooting over the last five games with those contests averaging a combined 193.6 points and those offensive struggles may continue vs. the hot Washington defense, especially with Manu Ginobili and Kawhi Leonard both still out for several more weeks.

Thus, look to the ‘under’ in our nation’s capital on Wednesday.

[gameodds]5/254661/?r-1=238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Spurs, Wizards ‘under’ 194½ (+102)