NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

There could be a higher scoring contest than the posted total suggests on Wednesday night when the Washington Wizards (3-7, 1-5 away) pay a visit to the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-7, 3-1 home) at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, OH at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 192 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -104.

Perhaps this total is being kept down by the fact that these same two teams needed overtime to reach just 199 points in a 103-96 Cavaliers’ victory at Washington on Saturday, but the Cavaliers have played much better here at home where they are 3-1 on the young season.

The Wizards meanwhile are capable of much better offensively than they displayed in that game as they are averaging 100.4 points per game, and their shoddy defense that is allowing 104.1 points per contest, so a more “normal” outing by Washington here should result in a higher scoring affair than Saturday’s encounter.

The Cavaliers brought back Mike Brown as head coach this season and they also added Andrew Bynum, although has been nowhere near the player he used to be after missing all of last season. Still, any success that the Cavaliers will have on offense this year and in future years will probably come down to All-Star Kyrie Irving, and although he is shooting just 39.5 percent on the season, he broke out in a big way vs. these Wizards Saturday with 41 points!

Furthermore, the Cleveland offense has been perkier at home averaging 99.5 points, good enough to post wins over the Nets, Timberwolves and 76ers. While Irving is obviously the star of the team averaging 21.3 points and seven assists, fellow youngsters Dion Waiters (13.3 points) and Tristan Thompson (13.1 points, 9.9 rebounds) give the team a nice nucleus to build around, although that trio is not known for defense, meaning there could be more ‘overs’ in the future.

The Wizards rebounded from that home loss to the Cavs by overcoming a 16-point deficit in a 104-100 win at home over the Timberwolves last night. Those combined 204 points are more in line with what the average Washington games have been averaging this season, a figure that is a bloated 12 points higher than this posted total.

Offensively, the Wizards have six players averaging in double-digits led by Bradley Beal and his 20.7 points, with John Wall being almost indisputably being the team’s best all-around player while averaging 15.9 points, 9.8 assists and 4.5 rebounds from the guard position. While Washington is in the top half of the league in scoring, it is also 26th in points against and second to last among the 30 NBA teams in field goal percentage against at a generous 47.8 percent.

That is a combination conducive to an ‘over’ and with the Cleveland offense scoring more points at home than on the road, look for an ‘over’ on Wednesday.

[gameodds]5/247846/?r-1=238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Wizards, Cavaliers ‘over’ 192 (-104)

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