NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, October 30, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

Look for a somewhat lower scoring game than the lofty posted total suggests for two teams opening up their respective NBA seasons Wednesday night when the Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Sacramento Kings at Sleep Train Arena in Sacramento, CA at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 205½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -107.

The Nuggets were known for playing at a hectic pace during the nine-year tenure of former coach George Karl, but their new coach Brian Shaw, who is making his head coaching debut at any level, is using a more conventional approach so do not expect to see the same high-scoring games that Nuggets’ fans have become accustomed to over the past decade or so.

The Kings meanwhile appeared to be as good as gone from Sacramento and heading for Seattle late least season before TIBCO software chairman Vivek Ranadive swooped in to buy the club from the Maloof family and kept the team in California’s capital. Unfortunately, the product on the floor still seems well removed form being a bona fide NBA caliber team.

In addition to firing Coach Karl after eight first round playoff exits in his nine years in Denver, the Nuggets also lost Andre Iguodala in free agency to the team that beat them during last season’s NBA Playoffs, the Golden State Warriors. The Nuggets are also without another scorer in Danilo Gallinari, who tore his ACL in April and will remain sidelined until around December.

Regardless, Coach Shaw, who wears five NBA Championship rings, plans to implement his own system, which relies heavily on half-court sets, a dominating presence in the paint and stiff defense.

The transition from Karl’s run-and-gun style may not be easy and may take a while, but the players seem to respect Shaw a great deal and new acquisition Randy Foye, who came over in the Iguodala deal, has already correctly pointed out publicly that the style that Shaw is trying to implement is more conducive to championship basketball, and his five rings carry a lot or weight, whereas Karl’s style was mostly conducive to piling up regular season wins.

The Kings are also under a new regime as Ranadive brought in a new head coach in Mike Malone. However, this team figures to struggle badly after trading away arguably its best player in former Rookie of the Year Tyreke Evens to the New Orleans Pelicans, and this is a team that went only 28-54 last season even with Evans averaging 15.2 points on 47.8 percent shooting while also filling out the stat sheet with 3.5 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game.

That means that the notorious malcontent DeMarcus Cousins is now expected to be the leader of the team at a very young age. They did acquire Grevis Vasquez in the Evans trade and he should start at point guard immediately, but even he has battled inconsistency throughout his brief career thus far.

Thus, neither team figures to score as many points at the outset of this season as it scored last year, so let’s go ‘under’ in the season opener for both teams from Sacramento on Wednesday.


NBA Pick: Nuggets, Kings ‘under’ 205½ (-107)

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