NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Tuesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, October 29, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 29, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their NBA Total Value Play of the Day for Tuesday.

It could be a relatively high scoring affair on the opening night of the 2013-14 NBA season Tuesday when the Orlando Magic pay a visit to the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 188½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -110.

The Pacers have kept improving every year since Frank Vogel took over as head coach, and they stretched the two-time NBA Champion Miami Heat to seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals. As usual since Vogel took over, the Pacers were mostly personified by tough hard-nosed defense last year, and while that figured to be their primary calling card this season, we also expect improvement from the offense.

The Magic finished with the worst record in the NBA at 20-62, but that was not really much of a surprise after trading away Dwight Howard for some young talent. Well, while the Lakers lost Howard to the Houston Rockets in free agency after one disappointing season in LA, a couple of the players the Magic acquired show great promise in emerging young center Nikola Vucevic and also Mo Harkless, and Orlando used its first round pick wisely on Victor Oladipo of Indiana.

Now while it is true that it was defense that allowed Indiana to get to within one game of the NBA Finals, the Pacers did show during the post-season that they can score when they had to thanks to probably the next big superstar in the NBA Paul George averaging 19.2 points, 7.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists during the playoffs. Now the offense was expected to get a boost this year by the return of Danny Granger, but he will miss the first three weeks with a calf injury.

Still, Indiana did add some nice offense off the bench following last season with the acquisitions of Luis Scola and Chris Copeland, as the Pacers were seemingly cognizant of the fact that although they may have the best defense in the Eastern Conference, they needed to add some scoring punch to be considered serious NBA Championship contenders.

And they probably could not have asked for a better team against which to put those new offensive weapons in action. That is because the young Magic allowed 101.1 points per game on 46.3 percent shooting last year, and even a Pacers’ team with what must be considered a lesser offense than this one scored 115 points in Orlando in March.

Yes the Magic should be slightly better this year, but it may take a while for that improvement to show, especially while trying to transition the natural shooting guard Oladipo into a point guard, and it may take even longer for the improvement to show on the defensive end.

The Magic were involved in a lot of high scoring game last year, and with Indiana now having some added firepower off the bench, look for this contest to be higher scoring than the total suggests on opening night Tuesday in Indiana.


NBA Pick: Magic, Pacers ‘over’ 188½ (-110)

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